Tag: Ukraine

Who stands to gain on the cutting of four Red Sea fiber-optic cables?

It is an intriguing question nobody has asked. I am going to give you my analysis on this subject. The cutting of the cables happened in early March 2024. Let us start with the biggest players and work our way down. But you need to remember that sometimes it is the smaller or regional nations engaged in a certain conflict who commit such precarious acts, since it is often their only means of turning the world rudder in their favor. Albeit you cannot rule out US involvement. However, if I may start speculating on which countries stand to gain from the cutting of three Red Sea fiber-optic internet cables, I at least don’t think the act was committed by any Chinese state institution. China has the least to gain from cutting the fiber-optic cables. As a matter of fact, they have everything to lose from it. And since it was the Chinese themself that buried most of the cables, if not all, underneath the Red Sea, they would know the exact location of all the cables. Most of the cables in the Red Sea weren’t cut. Ok, so what, you might say. It could have been a signal of warning to the EU or the US by the Chinese. No, it doesn’t work that way, I say. It is equally stupid as to accuse the Russians of the demolition of the North Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea, like some people did after the underwater explosions in September 2022. They were the ones building at least part of the infrastructure in the first place, and they built it for a purpose, and that purpose wasn’t to demolish the pipelines as soon as they were confronted with some initial difficulties. Trust me, it wasn’t the Chinese who cut the fiber-optic cables in the Red Sea any more than it was the Russians who demolished the Nord-Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Follow the money!

But since we are investigating the matter, we should look at the US for a minute. They at least stand to gain from a signal of warning to the Chinese by cutting 20 percent of the cables, as happened. Four out of 20 cables were cut, disrupting 25 percent of data traffic between Asia and Europe. Again, follow the money.

What about Russia then? Russia stands to gain from it – if the Kremlin can unnoticed get away with cutting the cables. Russia gains on it because it shifts the CCPs focus from the Pacific region and the Russian Far East to the European region and possibly to the Middle East and Africa.

Ukraine stands to gain on it because of China. And Ukraine stands to lose from it because of China. Ukraine wins on it because Beijing’s interest in a stable and peaceful Northern Europe will be increasing, although it is speculative. Ukraine loses because even though the bulk of Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine presumably are from Russia’s Far East, Russia’s grip on its Far East and South borders will automatically get bolstered as China refocuses. This will undoubtedly result in a greater Russian ability to bolster their own war efforts against Ukraine.

Could it be a European Union nation? I seriously doubt it. Europe, albeit having many issues, is the logical reason in the world.

Neither could it be India, or at least India won’t gain any strategic security from it. And why would they cut their internet connection to Europe on which they are so, so dependent on, the – Europe India Gateway? They’d rather not cut anything.

But Iran is another matter altogether. They stand everything to gain short term from it as China will refocus their efforts so that it to a greater extent encompasses the Persian Gulf and reaches the Red Sea. Only thing is that China has got a mere three aircraft carriers in total and not all of them can be operational at the same time. So, it would be a pretty desperate measure taken by the Iranians. Especially since it would only constitute a short-term solution for the Iranians, and thereafter China will lose more influence than necessary, mid-term. Except the Mullahs are in a pretty dire mess right now and would really like to get a break. Meantime, Biden needs to win the 2024 election. Republicans can’t get their heads out of their asses or Trump’s ass for that matter. From the Iranians’ perspective it doesn’t matter who wins the US election, they think they will be attacked anyway. And they probably will get attacked anyway. It’s just that the Republican side will be blatantly overt with their war plans, and they will not necessarily require any solid casus belli. Like the imperialistic Roman Emperors. Again, follow the money, which in the Roman empire equaled silk, but today equals oil. The Romans could go without silk clothes. But the Americans can’t go without oil.

As for Israel. It does serve Israel’s interest to sever the cables. They want to reshape their former alliance with the US. Biden is very sick of Netanyahu. The situation is threatening to create a multifront war in Israel without the US on Israel’s side, and the only way for Netanyahu to get back on track is to help the coming US war, against Iranian proxy forces and Iran but ultimately and undesirably against China, on the way. And Netanyahu may do so by severing several optical cables in the Red Sea. It is within Israel’s strategic grip too.

What about the Houthis in Yemen? Highly speculative. The Houthis deny they were behind it. If they had been they would have said so. The Muslims are pretty straight forward.

The four cables were: Seacom; TGN-Gulf; Asia-Africa-Europe 1; and Europe India Gateway. The cables may have been bundled together and it could therefore have been a freak accident. What speaks for this theory is that the four cables connect different regions in the world. It is the probable approach to spread the risks that you don’t bundle together cables intended for the same region in one and the same bundle. But if they were bundled together, they seem to have been severed at the strait of Bab El-Mandeb in the southern mouth to the Red Sea. There can’t be much sea traffic going East to West or vice versa there. And why would you anchor smack in the middle of one of the busiest, narrowest, and most heavily trafficked straits in the world?

You know, in the late nineteenth century and the beginning of the twentieth century on-shore oil-drilling didn’t require extracting the oil by pumping it up, the oil came shooting up from the ground as the drills broke the barrier to the wells. This wasn’t the desired result, but it was a reality. In the latter half of the twentieth century, you needed to pump the oil up from the oil wells. Today, in America, you most often need to resort to fracking to be able to pump the last oil up from the ground. This requires that you first pump down toxic chemicals into the ground. They don’t desire that either, but it is a reality. There is nothing the Republicans want more than royal monopoly on the oil from the Persian Gulf and elsewhere. Not to mention other resources. And the becoming King is Donald Trump. The return of the king. Try Gollum! That is the nice choice of character equivalent, from the Lord of the Rings.

And the sources for this were:

SR:Ekot

Fortune,

and

Al Jazeera

My name is Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile! 

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/undervattenskablar-i-roda-havet-har-gatt-av

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/6/why-are-people-blaming-the-houthis-for-cutting-the-red-sea-cables

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/cecilia-udden-usa-ser-netanyahu-som-ett-hinder

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/kina-fortsatter-att-rusta-upp-militaren-beredskap-for-krig

Putin’s servile Tucker Carlson

Former Fucks News servile anchor-man Tucker Carlsson is Putin’s bitch.

The controversial American journalist is in Moscow right now to interview Russian President Vladimir Putin. Tucker has never been keen on being unbiased. How could he when he supports Donald Trump? If you support Donald, you must be an enemy of the truth. The little weasel Elon Musk has promised Tucker a platform for his interview, that Tucker won’t be censored. Elon has never made a great impression on me. He scares me about as much as a killer-snail in my garden. I don’t want to unnecessarily step on it since it will make a big mess, and the other killer-snails will only feast on the corpse. But “Now” isn’t “unnecessary”, I think. He is weak.

Semper Fi, Volodomyr Zelenskyj!

Roger Klang

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/cecilia-khavar-intervjun-med-putin-i-linje-med-carlsons-ukrainakritik

The coming October war 2023 in the Persian Gulf

I maintain that there will start a by the US long time planned war, very soon in the Middle East. Within a month’s time, probably in less than two weeks’ time. It is the most obvious choice of victim, Iran, and not Saudi-Arabia. Well, I wouldn’t really call Iran’s theocracy victims. Iran has actively been engaging in the skirmishes and wars taking place in the whole of the Middle East area for many years now. They are just reaping what they themselves sew. But if the US make war like they did in Iraq in 2003, it will be ordinary Iranian people picking up the tab. The US Phosphorous bombs and thermobaric bombs and depleted uranium shells will see to that. Phosphorous bombs are really, really, ugly. Getting exposed to them kills people in a truly horrendous way. It can be compared to dying by torture in the middle-ages. The US hurled them against the city of Fallujah in Iraq in 2003, because they could and that’s that. It was the phony Christian, George W. Bush’s responsibility. “Shock-and-awe” and all that.

United With Israel reports October 1st, 2023, quote:

Iran has the infrastructure in place and the know-how to make a nuclear weapon in less than two weeks, according to the U.S. Department of Defense’s 2023 Strategy for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction report.

“It is assessed that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapons program at this time, but has the capacity to produce enough fissile material for a nuclear device in less than two weeks,” said the report, which outlines Washington’s strategic approach to countering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction globally.

“Further, the United States assesses Iran to be noncompliant with its CWC [Chemical Weapons Convention] obligations. For example, Iran has not submitted a complete chemical weapons production facility declaration to comply with CWC processes. The United States is also concerned that Iran is pursuing dual-use central nervous system-acting chemicals for offensive purposes,” added the report.

United With Israel

End quote

It looks like the Biden administration has another ace up its sleeve, in order to create Casus Belli for the US in the soon to be war. The threat of chemical weapons, which Iran hasn’t utilized up to now. But they are, quote, “pursuing” it!

But what da heck is “Dual-use” supposed to mean?

Casus Belli means “Cause for war” in Latin. They like their Latin, the big brass.

Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile!

The source for this lesson was: United With Israel

Tehran can Make Nuclear Bomb in Less Than Two Weeks, According to US Defense Department

Prigozjin chickens out! Why? Will Putin let this mutiny fly with impunity?

Why did Prigozjin chicken out? I know.., I know! Prigozjin realized that it was one thing to act hot-tempered and thrust some dozens of miles, in the heat of violent emotions, but another thing to actually reach Moscow with his, what was it, 50,000 some men? The closer to Moscow he got, the more he got cold feet since Putin is no spring chicken. Putin stood his ground. Unfortunately. It may have been a bluff by Putin, there might not have been any graspable heavy Russian troops to speak about near Moscow. But anti-terror laws were enforced. Roads in Moscow were being prepared for defense. There likely wasn’t any actual plan on Prigozjin’s behalf and it was a blind operation. Who were they going to target? Three generals? All of the generals? Putin himself? When Prigozjin’s Wagner group had to halt for a couple of hours’ pause they were still 40-50 miles from Moscow. What would they possibly meet? Most certainly anti-tank mines and other precautions taken by Putin and his regular army. The Kremlin had probably prepared for a hostile invasion of Moscow several years ago. Maybe decades ago when Moscow was still the capital of the USSR. Putin would surely kindly inform Prigozjin through Lukashenko about that, as Prigozjin advanced towards Moscow. Hot-heads eventually cool down. And guess what, Prigozjin may have been keen on sending his men into certain death if he deemed it to be necessary, but he wasn’t so keen on losing his own head. So he did what so many muslim leaders had already done before him, he chickened out in order not to lose his precious life.

But will Putin let this mutiny fly? Probably he will, as long as Prigozjin stays on the carpet in Belarus. In time Prigozjin may even be forgiven, if he becomes a player in the game of taking Kiev together with Lukasjenko’s troops. But he will never again be trusted by Putin. Prigozjin did intend to take the whole of the Wagner group operating in Ukraine with him into Belarus. That is suspicious. Maybe it was all Prigozjin’s delusion. But it is clear that Putin has more to lose than to win by decapitating Prigozjin. This debacle is going to be swept under the rug as soon as possible by the Kremlin. ”Nothing to see here, return to your slumber folks!”

And the sources for this was all Swedish Radio SR;Ekot

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/paasikivi-om-wagnergruppens-vandning-helt-ovantad

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/kreml-brottsmisstankarna-mot-prigozjin-laggs-ner

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/antiterrorlagar-utlysta-i-moskva-nar-wagnergruppen-narmar-sig

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/wagnergruppen-fortsatter-sin-narvaro-i-afrika

Roger Klang

Large scale war in Ukraine

Bild; Finska Yle

So, Ukraine, a state by Kreml and Putin called a pseudo state, is a part of Russia? If you had your family riding in a bus in the vicinity, would you violently, with certainty of collateral damage on your own family members, attack that family because they were riding in a bus together with a corrupt bus driver? Or because there was a known right wing Nazi connection of one of the forty other passengers riding in the bus, way in the back of the bus? Is that what you do with family members in Russia?

Putin is the new Hitler!

That’s it. There is nothing more to say.

Why did he do it?

Because he could? Yes, partly. But also, maybe, because his military, his transport aircraft fleet, his helicopters among other, needs spare parts from the Ukrainian military industry, former USSR military industry. And he needs the money, i.e. the women, that lives in Ukraine for the amusement of Russian men, since he cannot get to the women in the West. Whaaat? ”Did you just say what I thought you said?” Yes I did.

What can Ukraine do?

They can perhaps move their governmental institutions away from Kiev and to the south and let the Russian tanks roll deep into Ukraine, but not let the Russian support vehicles far into their country, by attacking the support vehicles in big scale ambushes with grenade rifles. But I don’t know what the environements look like in Northern Ukraine.

They can also, under controlled forms, demolish totally the industry that can be used for Russia’s nuclear capabilities.

Why did Putin not strike Ukrainian electricity first?

The infrastructure enables rapid operation in Ukraine. The road and railway network is well developed in the country. Russia and Ukraine have the same track gauge on the railway. As far as the road network is concerned, there are 103,150 miles of paved roads and 2,200 miles of unpaved roads. The railway network covers 13,400 miles, 6,400 miles is electrified railway. The railway network is mainly well developed in central and eastern Ukraine and somewhat less developed in western Ukraine. Roads and railways goes in all directions. Economic priorities within Ukraine are basicly its industry, which is mainly located in its eastern area.

What can Ukraine expect?

We need to first look at the near time history. In 2014, Russia launched a ”humanitarian” aid convoy to eastern Ukraine. Ukraine opposed this but eventually agreed to let the aid in if it was reloaded into other vehicles before the border crossing and escorted by the Red Cross. The inspection of the Russian trucks showed that many were almost empty except for a few sacks of flour. Russia chose to drive the convoy into Ukraine without the assistance of the Red Cross and in a completely different place than the one reluctantly approved by Ukraine. This is where the interesting really begins.

After the aid convoy crossed the border, it set course for the industrial city of Luhansk in eastern Ukraine, which Russia identified as in dire need. In for example Luhansk, the trucks were unloaded again without international supervision, but did not return immediately and definitely not empty. Instead, extraction of parts for Russia’s war-critical industry began. During the time the Russian convoy spent in eastern Ukraine, machinery, parts and products were loaded from e.g. a factory in Donetsk that manufactures radar and telecommunications warfare systems, a factory that manufactures parts for some of the Russian nuclear missile systems, and the factory that is the only one in the former Soviet Union, which manufactures turbine blades for aircraft engines and engines for helicopters, and other critical components for some combat aircraft engines.

Don’t know if there is something else the Russians still needs from Ukraine. They would most likely want to control the Ukrainian energy sector and their agricultural sector in order to sell energy and crops to the West and other countries in the world.

Is Russia backed by God?

No, no, no, no, no, no, no, not at all! They’re backed by Satan. It’s Satan’s country now. We wash our hands.

Russia is like a mad dog that has grabbed your child and chews on your child’s arm at a distance of ten yards from you. As soon as you make an attempt to move towards the mad dog to grab and pull your child to safety or attack the dog, the crazy dog stops chewing and stares you in your eyes, still with its jaws around your child’s arm, clearly threatening to instantly tear your child in pieces with his jaws if you continue to move forward. So you stop, and the mad dog starts chewing on your baby’s arm again, slowly chewing your baby to death observing all your movements. Your baby will either be eaten slowly or torn to death quickly, it’s up to you, even if the procedure is resumed.

Will Russia quit after Ukraine

No! As a matter of fact, the big Swedish island of Gotland in the Baltic Sea is probably next. And then the Baltic states. And then Finland. And then Northern Sweden through Finland. And then Scania, the South end of Sweden. And then parts of Norway and Denmark. And then Romania and Bulgaria perhaps. Something like that.

Where is Putin now?

Probably his palace in Gelendzjik near the Kertj strait between Ukrainian Crimea and Russia is thought to be like an ”Eagles Nest” by Putin and FSB and GRU in a situation like this.

Roger M. Klang