Russia – The strategist cowboy

Who stands to gain on the cutting of four Red Sea fiber-optic cables?

It is an intriguing question nobody has asked. I am going to give you my analysis on this subject. The cutting of the cables happened in early March 2024. Let us start with the biggest players and work our way down. But you need to remember that sometimes it is the smaller or regional nations engaged in a certain conflict who commit such precarious acts, since it is often their only means of turning the world rudder in their favor. Albeit you cannot rule out US involvement. However, if I may start speculating on which countries stand to gain from the cutting of three Red Sea fiber-optic internet cables, I at least don’t think the act was committed by any Chinese state institution. China has the least to gain from cutting the fiber-optic cables. As a matter of fact, they have everything to lose from it. And since it was the Chinese themself that buried most of the cables, if not all, underneath the Red Sea, they would know the exact location of all the cables. Most of the cables in the Red Sea weren’t cut. Ok, so what, you might say. It could have been a signal of warning to the EU or the US by the Chinese. No, it doesn’t work that way, I say. It is equally stupid as to accuse the Russians of the demolition of the North Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea, like some people did after the underwater explosions in September 2022. They were the ones building at least part of the infrastructure in the first place, and they built it for a purpose, and that purpose wasn’t to demolish the pipelines as soon as they were confronted with some initial difficulties. Trust me, it wasn’t the Chinese who cut the fiber-optic cables in the Red Sea any more than it was the Russians who demolished the Nord-Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Follow the money!

But since we are investigating the matter, we should look at the US for a minute. They at least stand to gain from a signal of warning to the Chinese by cutting 20 percent of the cables, as happened. Four out of 20 cables were cut, disrupting 25 percent of data traffic between Asia and Europe. Again, follow the money.

What about Russia then? Russia stands to gain from it – if the Kremlin can unnoticed get away with cutting the cables. Russia gains on it because it shifts the CCPs focus from the Pacific region and the Russian Far East to the European region and possibly to the Middle East and Africa.

Ukraine stands to gain on it because of China. And Ukraine stands to lose from it because of China. Ukraine wins on it because Beijing’s interest in a stable and peaceful Northern Europe will be increasing, although it is speculative. Ukraine loses because even though the bulk of Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine presumably are from Russia’s Far East, Russia’s grip on its Far East and South borders will automatically get bolstered as China refocuses. This will undoubtedly result in a greater Russian ability to bolster their own war efforts against Ukraine.

Could it be a European Union nation? I seriously doubt it. Europe, albeit having many issues, is the logical reason in the world.

Neither could it be India, or at least India won’t gain any strategic security from it. And why would they cut their internet connection to Europe on which they are so, so dependent on, the – Europe India Gateway? They’d rather not cut anything.

But Iran is another matter altogether. They stand everything to gain short term from it as China will refocus their efforts so that it to a greater extent encompasses the Persian Gulf and reaches the Red Sea. Only thing is that China has got a mere three aircraft carriers in total and not all of them can be operational at the same time. So, it would be a pretty desperate measure taken by the Iranians. Especially since it would only constitute a short-term solution for the Iranians, and thereafter China will lose more influence than necessary, mid-term. Except the Mullahs are in a pretty dire mess right now and would really like to get a break. Meantime, Biden needs to win the 2024 election. Republicans can’t get their heads out of their asses or Trump’s ass for that matter. From the Iranians’ perspective it doesn’t matter who wins the US election, they think they will be attacked anyway. And they probably will get attacked anyway. It’s just that the Republican side will be blatantly overt with their war plans, and they will not necessarily require any solid casus belli. Like the imperialistic Roman Emperors. Again, follow the money, which in the Roman empire equaled silk, but today equals oil. The Romans could go without silk clothes. But the Americans can’t go without oil.

As for Israel. It does serve Israel’s interest to sever the cables. They want to reshape their former alliance with the US. Biden is very sick of Netanyahu. The situation is threatening to create a multifront war in Israel without the US on Israel’s side, and the only way for Netanyahu to get back on track is to help the coming US war, against Iranian proxy forces and Iran but ultimately and undesirably against China, on the way. And Netanyahu may do so by severing several optical cables in the Red Sea. It is within Israel’s strategic grip too.

What about the Houthis in Yemen? Highly speculative. The Houthis deny they were behind it. If they had been they would have said so. The Muslims are pretty straight forward.

The four cables were: Seacom; TGN-Gulf; Asia-Africa-Europe 1; and Europe India Gateway. The cables may have been bundled together and it could therefore have been a freak accident. What speaks for this theory is that the four cables connect different regions in the world. It is the probable approach to spread the risks that you don’t bundle together cables intended for the same region in one and the same bundle. But if they were bundled together, they seem to have been severed at the strait of Bab El-Mandeb in the southern mouth to the Red Sea. There can’t be much sea traffic going East to West or vice versa there. And why would you anchor smack in the middle of one of the busiest, narrowest, and most heavily trafficked straits in the world?

You know, in the late nineteenth century and the beginning of the twentieth century on-shore oil-drilling didn’t require extracting the oil by pumping it up, the oil came shooting up from the ground as the drills broke the barrier to the wells. This wasn’t the desired result, but it was a reality. In the latter half of the twentieth century, you needed to pump the oil up from the oil wells. Today, in America, you most often need to resort to fracking to be able to pump the last oil up from the ground. This requires that you first pump down toxic chemicals into the ground. They don’t desire that either, but it is a reality. There is nothing the Republicans want more than royal monopoly on the oil from the Persian Gulf and elsewhere. Not to mention other resources. And the becoming King is Donald Trump. The return of the king. Try Gollum! That is the nice choice of character equivalent, from the Lord of the Rings.

And the sources for this were:

SR:Ekot

Fortune,

and

Al Jazeera

My name is Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile!

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/undervattenskablar-i-roda-havet-har-gatt-av

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/6/why-are-people-blaming-the-houthis-for-cutting-the-red-sea-cables

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/cecilia-udden-usa-ser-netanyahu-som-ett-hinder

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/kina-fortsatter-att-rusta-upp-militaren-beredskap-for-krig

Putin’s servile Tucker Carlson

Former Fucks News servile anchor-man Tucker Carlsson is Putin’s bitch.

The controversial American journalist is in Moscow right now to interview Russian President Vladimir Putin. Tucker has never been keen on being unbiased. How could he when he supports Donald Trump? If you support Donald, you must be an enemy of the truth. The little weasel Elon Musk has promised Tucker a platform for his interview, that Tucker won’t be censored. Elon has never made a great impression on me. He scares me about as much as a killer-snail in my garden. I don’t want to unnecessarily step on it since it will make a big mess, and the other killer-snails will only feast on the corpse. But “Now” isn’t “unnecessary”, I think. He is weak.

Semper Fi, Volodomyr Zelenskyj!

Roger Klang

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/cecilia-khavar-intervjun-med-putin-i-linje-med-carlsons-ukrainakritik

Prigozjin chickens out! Why? Will Putin let this mutiny fly with impunity?

Why did Prigozjin chicken out? I know.., I know! Prigozjin realized that it was one thing to act hot-tempered and thrust some dozens of miles, in the heat of violent emotions, but another thing to actually reach Moscow with his, what was it, 50,000 some men? The closer to Moscow he got, the more he got cold feet since Putin is no spring chicken. Putin stood his ground. Unfortunately. It may have been a bluff by Putin, there might not have been any graspable heavy Russian troops to speak about near Moscow. But anti-terror laws were enforced. Roads in Moscow were being prepared for defense. There likely wasn’t any actual plan on Prigozjin’s behalf and it was a blind operation. Who were they going to target? Three generals? All of the generals? Putin himself? When Prigozjin’s Wagner group had to halt for a couple of hours’ pause they were still 40-50 miles from Moscow. What would they possibly meet? Most certainly anti-tank mines and other precautions taken by Putin and his regular army. The Kremlin had probably prepared for a hostile invasion of Moscow several years ago. Maybe decades ago when Moscow was still the capital of the USSR. Putin would surely kindly inform Prigozjin through Lukashenko about that, as Prigozjin advanced towards Moscow. Hot-heads eventually cool down. And guess what, Prigozjin may have been keen on sending his men into certain death if he deemed it to be necessary, but he wasn’t so keen on losing his own head. So he did what so many muslim leaders had already done before him, he chickened out in order not to lose his precious life.

But will Putin let this mutiny fly? Probably he will, as long as Prigozjin stays on the carpet in Belarus. In time Prigozjin may even be forgiven, if he becomes a player in the game of taking Kiev together with Lukasjenko’s troops. But he will never again be trusted by Putin. Prigozjin did intend to take the whole of the Wagner group operating in Ukraine with him into Belarus. That is suspicious. Maybe it was all Prigozjin’s delusion. But it is clear that Putin has more to lose than to win by decapitating Prigozjin. This debacle is going to be swept under the rug as soon as possible by the Kremlin. ”Nothing to see here, return to your slumber folks!”

And the sources for this was all Swedish Radio SR;Ekot

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/paasikivi-om-wagnergruppens-vandning-helt-ovantad

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/kreml-brottsmisstankarna-mot-prigozjin-laggs-ner

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/antiterrorlagar-utlysta-i-moskva-nar-wagnergruppen-narmar-sig

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/wagnergruppen-fortsatter-sin-narvaro-i-afrika

Roger Klang

Update on world policies as of May 2023

It has been a long time since I last described what is going on in the world. The reason for that isn’t that I am left in the dark, on the contrary, I am more illuminated than ever. But the reason for my inactivity is that I have nurtured a hope that my country, Sweden, won’t be rendered ”Black Pete”, of the western world. Unfortunately I don’t think Joe Biden gets it, gets anything really. Today I am going to describe what will happen, with the big politics that the great powers may pursue, if Biden and Blinken succeeds.

The Turkish president Erdogan is doing the US and Russian bid of not letting in Sweden into Nato. I personally don’t care if he does or not.

The US administration still is working for our destruction as a country, and in the somewhat longer perspective the destruction of the whole of the EU. I have professed this information already. But here is a simplified short version:

The US administration is about to try and enforce the EU to admit many more refugees than what the EU has taken in, in the last years following on the Covid-19 pandemic. Their motive is a little bit unclear, but one motive may be that Biden and the US don’t want to be left in the wake as the only refugee taking country. They may not want to get ruined as a nation on their own, while the old world continue on with their civilization. But it may be, and I think it is an important factor, that the US long since and with different partisan politicians in the white house since at least Barrack Obama, wants to start this pending war with Iran but ultimately against China, together with the UK and the other five eyes countries and Israel. This is all about oil and phosphate and other raw materials. The US is running out of oil on their own soil fast. Since oil in the world is going to peter out in a few decades, the US wants to use their whole tool box in order to dump the EU and China in its backwater, fending for themselves without oil the best they can. This is a simplified description. Want proof?

I cannot definitely prove my case, but I can give you strong circumstantial evidence for it. Follow my reasoning:

Phosphates are used for crops and it is spread in pellets form across farmlands around the world to achieve significantly larger harvests. Estimates of phosphate production are sometimes difficult to understand because the phosphates are mined in different forms. The dominant form is ”Phosphate Rock”, a mineral that is usually mined in open pits. Two thirds of the world production are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the export market.

Oil will for the whole world last for maybe 14 years with the current consumption, from the year 2023. US phosphate reserves will last for 30 years for US use only. The United States do not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tons, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary. This did not prevent the United States from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later.

Can you think of an alternative reason why George W. Bush and the United States made a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006?

The world’s proven oil reserves of 1 trillion 726 billion barrels of oil in 2017 are thus sufficient for the whole world for maybe 14 years from 2023. However, there are uncertainties in these estimates. New oil fields are discovered on a regular basis, and since 1991, we have declared peak oil every year. But we have declared Peak Oil every year! Also the Ugandan oil deposits probably wreck my estimation a bit. But the southeast Asian countries’ economies are growing fast.

There are actually 161 different internationally traded crude oils on the stock market. It can seem insanely many since you as a consumer only have a few different options to choose from when you refuel your gasoline car. The crude oils all differ in terms of quality and price. Many grades of crude oil are suitable for production of diesel and fuel oil only. The Norwegian and British oil in the North Sea has been dubbed “Brent oil”. Brent oil is characterized by its high quality, and it is suitable for making gasoline from. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also known as Texas Light Sweet, is also a type of high-quality crude oil suitable for making gasoline from, and it is used as a benchmark in oil pricing alongside Brent. Both crude oils are light (low density) and sweet (low in sulfur). Other important oil markers include Dubai Crude and OPEC Reference Basket.

What is Biden and Blinken’s short term plan for the Nordic countries then? If Biden gets his wish he will create further animosity by our neighbors towards us Swedes. Russia knows what Biden wants to accomplish. Biden’s first wish is to see Russia attacking and invading Sweden, while he is left to do whatever he wants in the Middle East. The Kremlin just don’t see a Russian war solely against Sweden as being prioritized right now. Biden and Blinken in turn know this. So Biden and Blinken are covertly trying to whip up natural animosities into a tsunami wave from our closest neighbors, Denmark, Norway and Finland, to such extreme levels that our closest neighbors declare war against us Swedes. I feel a little bit like Israel!

What will such a war bring about in the world?

Granted, Sweden is and always has been an anomaly among the Nordic countries. There are plenty of well-preserved moss corpses in Denmark, Germany and even Norway, but there are only two well-preserved moss corpses from Sweden, including Scania, and one of the moss corpses was’nt from the Viking era. This clearly implies a different mindset by us Swedes at the time. We Swedes, including us Scanians, still have a different mindset. The very same different mindset as the one we had a 1000 years ago. In a future podcast I might go more into depth why I think there isn’t much of a cultural difference between modern Swedes and near prehistoric Swedes during and following the former migration period.

A Nordic cannibalistic war brings about chaos in Europe. If this by Biden and Blinken sought after war ever takes place, then we Swedes will win. It might even be that Denmark and Norway calculate with our victory, but that they want to proceed with their invasion plans against the UK, and this is pretty much what they must do then. Follow my reasoning here:

Such a war will make it much, much easier for Biden and the US together with the UK to dump the EU and leave them in the wake of the US and UK civilizations. Whatever did you think that Brexit was all about?

But of course, there are other strong heads, also in Europe. A Nordic war against the Nordic country of Sweden, with the EU risking to collapse because of the previous and current US administrations’ sinister scheme to in the near future cut off Europe’s supply chain of oil, would forge an alliance between Germany and Denmark/Norway against the US collaborator the UK. This in turn would possibly mean that the UK will be kinetically attacked by those countries. And then we will have a new Viking era if the Nordic countries, with the exception of Sweden who will not participate in it, wins such a war of attrition against the UK. I have warned about this scenario for several years now. Why won’t they listen?!

But Biden must act fast fast, in order for him to get his limited war, due to that the US just about now has hit their debt ceiling and is at the very bottom of their domestic oil reserves.

The source for this is all Sveriges Radio

Roger Klang, Lund Scania Sweden

https://sverigesradio.se/konflikt Så ska EU stoppa migranterna

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/liberalerna-sverige-bor-kunna-stotta-taiwan-militart-mot-kina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/uppgifter-usa-stottar-utbildning-av-ukrainska-piloter-for-f-16

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/zelenskyj-besokte-arabforbundet-uppmanar-ledarna-att-stotta-ukraina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/erdogan-inte-redo-att-slappa-in-sverige-i-nato-just-nu

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/nya-sanktioner-mot-ryssland-g7-landerna-overens

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/vattenfall-misstanks-for-prismanipulation

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/ryssland-angriper-avloppsverk-nu-ska-svenska-anlaggningar-starkas

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/republikanerna-lamnar-forhandlingarna-om-skuldtaket

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/usa-narmar-sig-skuldtaket-biden-forhandlar-med-republikanerna

Large scale war in Ukraine

Bild; Finska Yle

So, Ukraine, a state by Kreml and Putin called a pseudo state, is a part of Russia? If you had your family riding in a bus in the vicinity, would you violently, with certainty of collateral damage on your own family members, attack that family because they were riding in a bus together with a corrupt bus driver? Or because there was a known right wing Nazi connection of one of the forty other passengers riding in the bus, way in the back of the bus? Is that what you do with family members in Russia?

Putin is the new Hitler!

That’s it. There is nothing more to say.

Why did he do it?

Because he could? Yes, partly. But also, maybe, because his military, his transport aircraft fleet, his helicopters among other, needs spare parts from the Ukrainian military industry, former USSR military industry. And he needs the money, i.e. the women, that lives in Ukraine for the amusement of Russian men, since he cannot get to the women in the West. Whaaat? ”Did you just say what I thought you said?” Yes I did.

What can Ukraine do?

They can perhaps move their governmental institutions away from Kiev and to the south and let the Russian tanks roll deep into Ukraine, but not let the Russian support vehicles far into their country, by attacking the support vehicles in big scale ambushes with grenade rifles. But I don’t know what the environements look like in Northern Ukraine.

They can also, under controlled forms, demolish totally the industry that can be used for Russia’s nuclear capabilities.

Why did Putin not strike Ukrainian electricity first?

The infrastructure enables rapid operation in Ukraine. The road and railway network is well developed in the country. Russia and Ukraine have the same track gauge on the railway. As far as the road network is concerned, there are 103,150 miles of paved roads and 2,200 miles of unpaved roads. The railway network covers 13,400 miles, 6,400 miles is electrified railway. The railway network is mainly well developed in central and eastern Ukraine and somewhat less developed in western Ukraine. Roads and railways goes in all directions. Economic priorities within Ukraine are basicly its industry, which is mainly located in its eastern area.

What can Ukraine expect?

We need to first look at the near time history. In 2014, Russia launched a ”humanitarian” aid convoy to eastern Ukraine. Ukraine opposed this but eventually agreed to let the aid in if it was reloaded into other vehicles before the border crossing and escorted by the Red Cross. The inspection of the Russian trucks showed that many were almost empty except for a few sacks of flour. Russia chose to drive the convoy into Ukraine without the assistance of the Red Cross and in a completely different place than the one reluctantly approved by Ukraine. This is where the interesting really begins.

After the aid convoy crossed the border, it set course for the industrial city of Luhansk in eastern Ukraine, which Russia identified as in dire need. In for example Luhansk, the trucks were unloaded again without international supervision, but did not return immediately and definitely not empty. Instead, extraction of parts for Russia’s war-critical industry began. During the time the Russian convoy spent in eastern Ukraine, machinery, parts and products were loaded from e.g. a factory in Donetsk that manufactures radar and telecommunications warfare systems, a factory that manufactures parts for some of the Russian nuclear missile systems, and the factory that is the only one in the former Soviet Union, which manufactures turbine blades for aircraft engines and engines for helicopters, and other critical components for some combat aircraft engines.

Don’t know if there is something else the Russians still needs from Ukraine. They would most likely want to control the Ukrainian energy sector and their agricultural sector in order to sell energy and crops to the West and other countries in the world.

Is Russia backed by God?

No, no, no, no, no, no, no, not at all! They’re backed by Satan. It’s Satan’s country now. We wash our hands.

Russia is like a mad dog that has grabbed your child and chews on your child’s arm at a distance of ten yards from you. As soon as you make an attempt to move towards the mad dog to grab and pull your child to safety or attack the dog, the crazy dog stops chewing and stares you in your eyes, still with its jaws around your child’s arm, clearly threatening to instantly tear your child in pieces with his jaws if you continue to move forward. So you stop, and the mad dog starts chewing on your baby’s arm again, slowly chewing your baby to death observing all your movements. Your baby will either be eaten slowly or torn to death quickly, it’s up to you, even if the procedure is resumed.

Will Russia quit after Ukraine

No! As a matter of fact, the big Swedish island of Gotland in the Baltic Sea is probably next. And then the Baltic states. And then Finland. And then Northern Sweden through Finland. And then Scania, the South end of Sweden. And then parts of Norway and Denmark. And then Romania and Bulgaria perhaps. Something like that.

Where is Putin now?

Probably his palace in Gelendzjik near the Kertj strait between Ukrainian Crimea and Russia is thought to be like an ”Eagles Nest” by Putin and FSB and GRU in a situation like this.

Roger M. Klang