Tag: China

Who stands to gain on the cutting of four Red Sea fiber-optic cables?

It is an intriguing question nobody has asked. I am going to give you my analysis on this subject. The cutting of the cables happened in early March 2024. Let us start with the biggest players and work our way down. But you need to remember that sometimes it is the smaller or regional nations engaged in a certain conflict who commit such precarious acts, since it is often their only means of turning the world rudder in their favor. Albeit you cannot rule out US involvement. However, if I may start speculating on which countries stand to gain from the cutting of three Red Sea fiber-optic internet cables, I at least don’t think the act was committed by any Chinese state institution. China has the least to gain from cutting the fiber-optic cables. As a matter of fact, they have everything to lose from it. And since it was the Chinese themself that buried most of the cables, if not all, underneath the Red Sea, they would know the exact location of all the cables. Most of the cables in the Red Sea weren’t cut. Ok, so what, you might say. It could have been a signal of warning to the EU or the US by the Chinese. No, it doesn’t work that way, I say. It is equally stupid as to accuse the Russians of the demolition of the North Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea, like some people did after the underwater explosions in September 2022. They were the ones building at least part of the infrastructure in the first place, and they built it for a purpose, and that purpose wasn’t to demolish the pipelines as soon as they were confronted with some initial difficulties. Trust me, it wasn’t the Chinese who cut the fiber-optic cables in the Red Sea any more than it was the Russians who demolished the Nord-Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Follow the money!

But since we are investigating the matter, we should look at the US for a minute. They at least stand to gain from a signal of warning to the Chinese by cutting 20 percent of the cables, as happened. Four out of 20 cables were cut, disrupting 25 percent of data traffic between Asia and Europe. Again, follow the money.

What about Russia then? Russia stands to gain from it – if the Kremlin can unnoticed get away with cutting the cables. Russia gains on it because it shifts the CCPs focus from the Pacific region and the Russian Far East to the European region and possibly to the Middle East and Africa.

Ukraine stands to gain on it because of China. And Ukraine stands to lose from it because of China. Ukraine wins on it because Beijing’s interest in a stable and peaceful Northern Europe will be increasing, although it is speculative. Ukraine loses because even though the bulk of Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine presumably are from Russia’s Far East, Russia’s grip on its Far East and South borders will automatically get bolstered as China refocuses. This will undoubtedly result in a greater Russian ability to bolster their own war efforts against Ukraine.

Could it be a European Union nation? I seriously doubt it. Europe, albeit having many issues, is the logical reason in the world.

Neither could it be India, or at least India won’t gain any strategic security from it. And why would they cut their internet connection to Europe on which they are so, so dependent on, the – Europe India Gateway? They’d rather not cut anything.

But Iran is another matter altogether. They stand everything to gain short term from it as China will refocus their efforts so that it to a greater extent encompasses the Persian Gulf and reaches the Red Sea. Only thing is that China has got a mere three aircraft carriers in total and not all of them can be operational at the same time. So, it would be a pretty desperate measure taken by the Iranians. Especially since it would only constitute a short-term solution for the Iranians, and thereafter China will lose more influence than necessary, mid-term. Except the Mullahs are in a pretty dire mess right now and would really like to get a break. Meantime, Biden needs to win the 2024 election. Republicans can’t get their heads out of their asses or Trump’s ass for that matter. From the Iranians’ perspective it doesn’t matter who wins the US election, they think they will be attacked anyway. And they probably will get attacked anyway. It’s just that the Republican side will be blatantly overt with their war plans, and they will not necessarily require any solid casus belli. Like the imperialistic Roman Emperors. Again, follow the money, which in the Roman empire equaled silk, but today equals oil. The Romans could go without silk clothes. But the Americans can’t go without oil.

As for Israel. It does serve Israel’s interest to sever the cables. They want to reshape their former alliance with the US. Biden is very sick of Netanyahu. The situation is threatening to create a multifront war in Israel without the US on Israel’s side, and the only way for Netanyahu to get back on track is to help the coming US war, against Iranian proxy forces and Iran but ultimately and undesirably against China, on the way. And Netanyahu may do so by severing several optical cables in the Red Sea. It is within Israel’s strategic grip too.

What about the Houthis in Yemen? Highly speculative. The Houthis deny they were behind it. If they had been they would have said so. The Muslims are pretty straight forward.

The four cables were: Seacom; TGN-Gulf; Asia-Africa-Europe 1; and Europe India Gateway. The cables may have been bundled together and it could therefore have been a freak accident. What speaks for this theory is that the four cables connect different regions in the world. It is the probable approach to spread the risks that you don’t bundle together cables intended for the same region in one and the same bundle. But if they were bundled together, they seem to have been severed at the strait of Bab El-Mandeb in the southern mouth to the Red Sea. There can’t be much sea traffic going East to West or vice versa there. And why would you anchor smack in the middle of one of the busiest, narrowest, and most heavily trafficked straits in the world?

You know, in the late nineteenth century and the beginning of the twentieth century on-shore oil-drilling didn’t require extracting the oil by pumping it up, the oil came shooting up from the ground as the drills broke the barrier to the wells. This wasn’t the desired result, but it was a reality. In the latter half of the twentieth century, you needed to pump the oil up from the oil wells. Today, in America, you most often need to resort to fracking to be able to pump the last oil up from the ground. This requires that you first pump down toxic chemicals into the ground. They don’t desire that either, but it is a reality. There is nothing the Republicans want more than royal monopoly on the oil from the Persian Gulf and elsewhere. Not to mention other resources. And the becoming King is Donald Trump. The return of the king. Try Gollum! That is the nice choice of character equivalent, from the Lord of the Rings.

And the sources for this were:

SR:Ekot

Fortune,

and

Al Jazeera

My name is Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile! 

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/undervattenskablar-i-roda-havet-har-gatt-av

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/6/why-are-people-blaming-the-houthis-for-cutting-the-red-sea-cables

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/cecilia-udden-usa-ser-netanyahu-som-ett-hinder

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/kina-fortsatter-att-rusta-upp-militaren-beredskap-for-krig

The coming October war 2023 in the Persian Gulf

I maintain that there will start a by the US long time planned war, very soon in the Middle East. Within a month’s time, probably in less than two weeks’ time. It is the most obvious choice of victim, Iran, and not Saudi-Arabia. Well, I wouldn’t really call Iran’s theocracy victims. Iran has actively been engaging in the skirmishes and wars taking place in the whole of the Middle East area for many years now. They are just reaping what they themselves sew. But if the US make war like they did in Iraq in 2003, it will be ordinary Iranian people picking up the tab. The US Phosphorous bombs and thermobaric bombs and depleted uranium shells will see to that. Phosphorous bombs are really, really, ugly. Getting exposed to them kills people in a truly horrendous way. It can be compared to dying by torture in the middle-ages. The US hurled them against the city of Fallujah in Iraq in 2003, because they could and that’s that. It was the phony Christian, George W. Bush’s responsibility. “Shock-and-awe” and all that.

United With Israel reports October 1st, 2023, quote:

Iran has the infrastructure in place and the know-how to make a nuclear weapon in less than two weeks, according to the U.S. Department of Defense’s 2023 Strategy for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction report.

“It is assessed that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapons program at this time, but has the capacity to produce enough fissile material for a nuclear device in less than two weeks,” said the report, which outlines Washington’s strategic approach to countering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction globally.

“Further, the United States assesses Iran to be noncompliant with its CWC [Chemical Weapons Convention] obligations. For example, Iran has not submitted a complete chemical weapons production facility declaration to comply with CWC processes. The United States is also concerned that Iran is pursuing dual-use central nervous system-acting chemicals for offensive purposes,” added the report.

United With Israel

End quote

It looks like the Biden administration has another ace up its sleeve, in order to create Casus Belli for the US in the soon to be war. The threat of chemical weapons, which Iran hasn’t utilized up to now. But they are, quote, “pursuing” it!

But what da heck is “Dual-use” supposed to mean?

Casus Belli means “Cause for war” in Latin. They like their Latin, the big brass.

Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile!

The source for this lesson was: United With Israel

Tehran can Make Nuclear Bomb in Less Than Two Weeks, According to US Defense Department

Possible shift in Biden’s grand strategic plans

Never assume that a world leader is good. I want to emphasize the importance that we should not be naive! Biden is thinking of the United States and Americans, when he conducts his politics. But if it does not affect the abilities for America or Americans to economically strengthen or at least maintain their leading position in the world, then of course he can throw a bone to a party outside of AUKUS and the border states of Canada and New Zealand, especially if Biden’s country benefits from it. Israel also has a key position, but I can’t really read out why the Israelis’ treatment of the Palestinians and the West Bank, plays such an important role in Biden’s and Blinken’s plans. However, you can read what Blinken said in black and white with the headline;  ”US warns Israel: Peace with Saudis getting ‘tougher, if not impossible’”; on the online medium World Israel News on July 5, 2023. Quote;

“We’ve told our friends and allies in Israel that if there’s a fire burning in their backyard, it’s going to be a lot tougher, if not impossible, to actually both deepen the existing agreements as well as to expand them to include potentially Saudi Arabia,” said Blinken.

He also said, quote;

“It’s also, at least in our judgment as Israel’s closest friend and ally, profoundly not in Israel’s interest for this to happen—both because of the added degree of difficulty that this presents for pursuing normalization agreements, or deepening them, but also because of the practical consequences,” he added. End quote

Why is it not marginal? As for the importance of the Abraham accords, I can understand why the US does not want it to develop between Israel and Saudi-Arabia right now. But it doesn’t seem like the haussed to the sky Israeli intelligence service Mossad really understands how the land lays or why it is so. They persist in opposing Biden’s plans. They have done so for a long time. Of course, the Israelis have an interest in the Middle East, but they should have fathomed that it is not in their interest that the United States fall to pieces by internal division, like once the Roman Empire did before them. We here in Sweden observe how the Israelis act more and more like their antagonists in Iran, Lebanon and Palestine. It’s just that Israel is more powerful than their enemies and they also have more powerful allies.

Have we considered that Israel is a special country? It is the land where Judaism, Islam and Christianity converge – in Jerusalem. In addition, there are elements of reincarnation in Judaism. We can think what we want about it, but the land of Israel is important to our own security. They are important to the whole of Europe’s security. The Israelis know this, why doesn’t the EU realize this? It is mindboggling to the Israelis, probably. We cannot let them perish.

It seems as if we are needed all of a sudden. Saudi-Arabia may be the new enemy. But don’t listen too much when Biden says that, quote; “We have always strongly supported Sweden to get Sweden into NATO” End quote. Empirical evidence shows the opposite. Not once has Biden commented on Erdogan’s tango dance with the Swedish government, but he has, under greatest possible silence, left us alone to cope as best we can in the recent past. It is clear who led in that tango dance, it wasn’t Ulf Kristersson in any case. (Spoiler alert, it was Erdogan.) But it can be differently now, Biden can show a “good” side if he wants to. It’s just that, as an Irish-American, he doesn’t like us Swedes at all. But probably even an Irishman can like Swedes. But not him. Then I don’t like him, and I will turn away my gaze when he is led screaming and kicking to the guillotine by his countrymen. The reactionaries always win in the long run. For being the world’s most powerful man, he poorly realizes that Sweden has been one of the biggest guarantors that the US will remain the master of the world, by our support purchase of US security bonds and us consistently refraining from selling them when the dollar has been under attack. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg of what we’ve done for the United States. But ingratitude is the wages of the weak.

Now a question. Are the Swedes prepared to contribute with troops in a future American war in the Middle East, for example against Saudi-Arabia and, in the extension, China? Are the Swedes prepared for a two-front war? Then we should join NATO. Otherwise, we will probably have to fight Russia alone. But we will win against Russia, mind you. Personally, I do not want to join NATO, because I think it will create greater strain on us in the long run. One must not forget that we have a domestic, quote; “situation”; to deal with, simultaneously. Of our two supposed choices, it is only an all-out Swedish war against Russia on Swedish soil that can straighten up our backbone and make, quote; “our”; criminals listless, which means that in that case we can turn the tide in Sweden. Also remember that a Swedish NATO membership in no way provides any guarantees that we will be able to stay out of a war against Russia in the event of a major war. An American war against one or more actors is in the long run inevitable unless the Gulf states change their mind, because China gets most of the oil from the Persian Gulf oil states and the US has domestic oil for perhaps only 12 more years of consumption if you are to believe the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 . I don’t think it’s possible to achieve, but if the US were to run its motor park and its many fossil fueled powerplants on domestic oil alone, that time would almost be halved to only six years of consumption. It has become more difficult to calculate precisely, because the CIA has deliberately made it so in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 compared to previous editions of the book. Maybe you can thank Me for that.

It is established in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK that Saudi-Arabia, just like Iran, and every other oil producing country in the Persian Gulf, does more business with China than with the United States. Saudi-Arabia has literally extended a hand to Iran recently. They are suicidal. It’s clear as hell that it has the potential to overturn the US original game plan. But in that case, it’s not the tiles that are moved alternate, the whole boardgame is likely to change.

Roger Klang

Morocco and Israel Vs. Western Sahara

Updated

In World Israel News july 17, 2023, there is a headline: Quote; ”Israel recognizes Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara.” End quote

The headline is noticable but hardly remarkable. Let me start by stating some facts.

Phosphates

Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara is a major supplier of phosphates, which is used in the agricultural sector. Phosphates are used for crops and it is spread in pellets form across farmlands around the world to achieve significantly larger harvests. Estimates of phosphate production are sometimes difficult to understand because the phosphates are mined in different forms. The dominant form is ”Phosphate Rock”, a mineral that is usually mined in open pits. Two thirds of the world production are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the export market.

My guess is that Israel is a minor consumer of phosphates. But the US isn’t. Neither is Europe.

US phosphate reserves will last for 30 years for US use only. The United States does not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tons, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary. This did not prevent the United States from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later.

Don’t rock the boat!

I think that Israel is recognizing a potential strategic asset in the Morocco/Western Sahara phosphates. However, they are not doing God’s will. Western Sahara doesn’t deserve being occupied by the Moroccans. Except, in practice Israel’s move doesn’t make any difference from before. Both the EU, the US and Israel have for a very long time lived on the broken backs of the Western Saharans, and in the process we have carefully avoided to mention this little immoral and unrighteous Moroccan territorial claims, just to be able to buy the phosphates from Morocco and the by Morocco occupied territory of Western Sahara.

Before I go on, I want to emphasize the importance for Europe to have this policy of buying phosphates from Morocco and keeping quiet about the Moroccan occupation of Western Sahara.

Fact: If we hadn’t done that, we would also not have been able to harbor any refugees in our countries. Food would have been to scarce. And if we wouldn’t have been able to harbor refugees, we would not have been able to sustain an economic growth simultaneous with a declining domestic birth rate. Our politicians have decided that we must have a steady economic growth, and the price for that is inevitably immigration. You can think of it what you want, but it is a fact. We get richer as a nation from immigration. There is a reason why the richest countries in history also have had the most diversified population, and the poorest countries in history have had the most homogenous population. Though, some are more equal than others, because the rich and powerful gets much richer and powerful than the rest of us. This in the end leads to the downfall of civilizations.

So, do you recognize how this is an opportunity for Israel? They get their hand into the bread basket for the price of nothing. But nothing has really changed, business as usual and all that. And to top it off, they can claim success for the Abraham Accords. It is a smart move.

A headline on SR; Ekot on Sunday July 16 reads (translated):

Quote; ”EU and Tunisia sign new migration treaty.” End quote

It may have to do with Algerian gas exports to Europe via Tunisia and Italy. Italy taps a lot of the gas. Algeria/Tunisia and Morocco aren’t very sweet friends, albeit some of the Algerian gas pipelines traverse Moroccan territory into Spain. It’s complicated! Algerian gas exports to Europe had fallen by 22% by 2019. Guess it is going up again. It should be the ones tapping gas from this pipeline who have to proportionally absorb the migration flood emanating from this treaty!

How to smooth things over

Morocco/Western Sahara has got almost no Shia – <0.1 percent. Terror groups are ISIS, and Islamic State of Iraq previously referred to as al-Qaeda in Iraq. All FACTS according to the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024.

Israel Kasnett, TPS, excuse the state of Israel contrary to facts, on the online news site WIN, quote – and the following is one long quoute:

“Morocco shares a long border with Algeria, an ally of Iran, which directly threatens it militarily and through its support for Polisario separatism.”

In a significant step for Israel-Morocco relations, King Mohammed VI on Wednesday invited Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to visit the kingdom.

The invitation came after Israel officially recognized Moroccan sovereignty over the disputed Western Sahara region earlier in the week.

The invitation came in the form of a warm, personal letter in which His Majesty thanked the State of Israel for its recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the Western Sahara. The visit will open up new possibilities for strengthening relations between the two countries, the king wrote.

Israel’s decision also holds immense significance due to its direct impact on the activities of Iran and its proxy Hezbollah in North Africa, disrupting their efforts to establish roots and expand their presence in the region.

Former Israeli National Security Adviser Meir Ben-Shabbat told the Tazpit Press Service that while he is aware that the steps towards recognizing Western Sahara took place over an extended period of time, “there is importance in Israel strengthening its position and presence on the African continent, especially at a time when Iran and its partners are trying to establish a foothold in Africa.”

Addressing why Israel waited until now to recognize Morocco’s sovereignty, he said he assumes that part of the time was required to examine the step’s possible consequences.

According to Ben-Shabbat, the recognition “is a proper and desirable step for several reasons. It reflects the deep trust between Israel and Morocco and Israel’s commitment to developing warm relations between the two countries and peoples.”

It “promotes a realistic and existing solution to this territory, which the United States has also recognized,” and “serves as a clear statement against the forces that oppose Morocco, supported by Iran and Algeria,” he said.

Ben-Shabbat said Israel can expect that ties between the two countries will improve even further now, adding that “despite the impressive progress in relations between Israel and Morocco since normalization, there is still great untapped potential in the economic, technological and political spheres.

“Additionally,” he said, “Morocco can play an important role in bringing other North African countries into the peace circle.”

Western Sahara shares a border with Mauritania, which Israel hopes will also normalize ties with it as part of the Abraham Accords.

The Algerian Angle

In an effort to maintain parity with its formidable regional counterpart, Algeria, Morocco is actively bolstering its defense investments. For numerous years, Rabat has perceived Algeria as a significant threat, particularly following the termination of diplomatic ties by Algiers in August 2011.

As part of this effort, Morocco has been preparing to acquire an undisclosed number of decommissioned Merkava tanks from Israel. The completion of this deal, anticipated within the coming months, will mark Morocco as the first foreign buyer of Merkava tanks.

According to a Foreign Policy article in June, “After [President Donald] Trump recognized Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara in exchange for Morocco normalizing its relationship with Israel, Tel Aviv and Rabat cemented the deal with a bevy of military and economic agreements. Algeria sees this new romance between Morocco, the United States, and Israel—three of its longtime enemies—as a threat to its security.”

In 2020, when Morocco reestablished diplomatic relations with Israel as part of the Abraham Accords, the Algerian government initiated a smear campaign against the kingdom, despite its reputation for tolerance and coexistence. However, at the same time, discreetly, Algeria engaged in undisclosed business dealings with Israel.

While Israel has no diplomatic relations with Algeria, Israel’s imports from the country stood at $21.38 million in 2022, according to the United Nations Comtrade database.

So while it refrains from officially recognizing Israel and publicly expresses animosity towards it, Algeria sells goods to Israel, facilitated by the ruling junta.

The Western Sahara is the primary source of contention between Morocco and Algeria. After Spain withdrew from the area in 1975, both Morocco and Mauritania claimed sovereignty over the territory. The Polisario Front, a movement representing the indigenous Sahrawi people, also declared the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) and sought independence.

Algeria supported the Polisario Front, providing it with military aid and training and diplomatic recognition. Morocco eventually gained control over most of the Western Sahara, while the Polisario Front maintained control over some parts, leading to a prolonged conflict.

The conflict between Morocco and Algeria has been fueled by ideological differences as well. Historically, Algeria aligned itself with socialist and anti-colonial movements, supporting self-determination struggles across Africa. Morocco, on the other hand, has maintained closer ties with Western powers and pursued a more pro-Western foreign policy.

The Iranian Threat

Dr. Yechiel Leiter, the director-general of the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, also views Israel’s gesture to Morocco as positive.

“Morocco shares a long border with Algeria, an ally of Iran, which directly threatens it militarily and through its support for Polisario separatism. Were the Polisario to achieve its goal, Western Sahara would be an Algerian puppet state, contributing to strengthening an Iranian proxy,” Leiter told TPS.

He noted that the Iranian regime “supplies the Polisario with antiaircraft missiles and drones through the services of Algeria and Hezbollah. Together with the IRGC [Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps], Hezbollah is also training Polisario fighters. The Polisario itself has provided cover for al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), a terrorist group that is active in the Sahel region.”

Morocco also plays a key role in global food production, a major component of which is fertilizer, which requires phosphates. As Leiter points out, “A full 72% of the known phosphate deposits are found in Morocco, and 7% are in Western Sahara. Allowing moderate Morocco to be surrounded by hostile and destabilizing Iranian proxies could potentially have great impact on food security worldwide.”

“The implications of such a concentration of a critical component of the world’s food supply are sobering,” he said. “Were 7% of the world’s known phosphate deposits (in Western Sahara) to fall into the hands of a sovereign entity under the direct influence of Iran, the ramifications could be ominous. But what is far more threatening would be the influence brought to bear on a moderate Morocco with its overwhelming control of the world’s food supply, surrounded by hostile and destabilizing Iranian proxies.”

According to Leiter, “Hezbollah is already deeply involved in West Africa, and the last thing the region needs is another dysfunctional state under the influence of the world’s most significant terror and illicit drug trade organization.”

“Morocco stands against the fanatical Islam exported by the ayatollahs and their proxies,” he said. Its battle against the Polisario and terrorism “is also Israel’s battle.”

Source: World Israel News (WIN)

Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile!

Israel recognizes Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/eu-och-tunisien-signerar-nytt-migrationsavtal

Israel’s recognition of Western Sahara a blow to Iran

Update on world policies as of May 2023

It has been a long time since I last described what is going on in the world. The reason for that isn’t that I am left in the dark, on the contrary, I am more illuminated than ever. But the reason for my inactivity is that I have nurtured a hope that my country, Sweden, won’t be rendered ”Black Pete”, of the western world. Unfortunately I don’t think Joe Biden gets it, gets anything really. Today I am going to describe what will happen, with the big politics that the great powers may pursue, if Biden and Blinken succeeds.

The Turkish president Erdogan is doing the US and Russian bid of not letting in Sweden into Nato. I personally don’t care if he does or not.

The US administration still is working for our destruction as a country, and in the somewhat longer perspective the destruction of the whole of the EU. I have professed this information already. But here is a simplified short version:

The US administration is about to try and enforce the EU to admit many more refugees than what the EU has taken in, in the last years following on the Covid-19 pandemic. Their motive is a little bit unclear, but one motive may be that Biden and the US don’t want to be left in the wake as the only refugee taking country. They may not want to get ruined as a nation on their own, while the old world continue on with their civilization. But it may be, and I think it is an important factor, that the US long since and with different partisan politicians in the white house since at least Barrack Obama, wants to start this pending war with Iran but ultimately against China, together with the UK and the other five eyes countries and Israel. This is all about oil and phosphate and other raw materials. The US is running out of oil on their own soil fast. Since oil in the world is going to peter out in a few decades, the US wants to use their whole tool box in order to dump the EU and China in its backwater, fending for themselves without oil the best they can. This is a simplified description. Want proof?

I cannot definitely prove my case, but I can give you strong circumstantial evidence for it. Follow my reasoning:

Phosphates are used for crops and it is spread in pellets form across farmlands around the world to achieve significantly larger harvests. Estimates of phosphate production are sometimes difficult to understand because the phosphates are mined in different forms. The dominant form is ”Phosphate Rock”, a mineral that is usually mined in open pits. Two thirds of the world production are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the export market.

Oil will for the whole world last for maybe 14 years with the current consumption, from the year 2023. US phosphate reserves will last for 30 years for US use only. The United States do not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tons, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary. This did not prevent the United States from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later.

Can you think of an alternative reason why George W. Bush and the United States made a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006?

The world’s proven oil reserves of 1 trillion 726 billion barrels of oil in 2017 are thus sufficient for the whole world for maybe 14 years from 2023. However, there are uncertainties in these estimates. New oil fields are discovered on a regular basis, and since 1991, we have declared peak oil every year. But we have declared Peak Oil every year! Also the Ugandan oil deposits probably wreck my estimation a bit. But the southeast Asian countries’ economies are growing fast.

There are actually 161 different internationally traded crude oils on the stock market. It can seem insanely many since you as a consumer only have a few different options to choose from when you refuel your gasoline car. The crude oils all differ in terms of quality and price. Many grades of crude oil are suitable for production of diesel and fuel oil only. The Norwegian and British oil in the North Sea has been dubbed “Brent oil”. Brent oil is characterized by its high quality, and it is suitable for making gasoline from. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also known as Texas Light Sweet, is also a type of high-quality crude oil suitable for making gasoline from, and it is used as a benchmark in oil pricing alongside Brent. Both crude oils are light (low density) and sweet (low in sulfur). Other important oil markers include Dubai Crude and OPEC Reference Basket.

What is Biden and Blinken’s short term plan for the Nordic countries then? If Biden gets his wish he will create further animosity by our neighbors towards us Swedes. Russia knows what Biden wants to accomplish. Biden’s first wish is to see Russia attacking and invading Sweden, while he is left to do whatever he wants in the Middle East. The Kremlin just don’t see a Russian war solely against Sweden as being prioritized right now. Biden and Blinken in turn know this. So Biden and Blinken are covertly trying to whip up natural animosities into a tsunami wave from our closest neighbors, Denmark, Norway and Finland, to such extreme levels that our closest neighbors declare war against us Swedes. I feel a little bit like Israel!

What will such a war bring about in the world?

Granted, Sweden is and always has been an anomaly among the Nordic countries. There are plenty of well-preserved moss corpses in Denmark, Germany and even Norway, but there are only two well-preserved moss corpses from Sweden, including Scania, and one of the moss corpses was’nt from the Viking era. This clearly implies a different mindset by us Swedes at the time. We Swedes, including us Scanians, still have a different mindset. The very same different mindset as the one we had a 1000 years ago. In a future podcast I might go more into depth why I think there isn’t much of a cultural difference between modern Swedes and near prehistoric Swedes during and following the former migration period.

A Nordic cannibalistic war brings about chaos in Europe. If this by Biden and Blinken sought after war ever takes place, then we Swedes will win. It might even be that Denmark and Norway calculate with our victory, but that they want to proceed with their invasion plans against the UK, and this is pretty much what they must do then. Follow my reasoning here:

Such a war will make it much, much easier for Biden and the US together with the UK to dump the EU and leave them in the wake of the US and UK civilizations. Whatever did you think that Brexit was all about?

But of course, there are other strong heads, also in Europe. A Nordic war against the Nordic country of Sweden, with the EU risking to collapse because of the previous and current US administrations’ sinister scheme to in the near future cut off Europe’s supply chain of oil, would forge an alliance between Germany and Denmark/Norway against the US collaborator the UK. This in turn would possibly mean that the UK will be kinetically attacked by those countries. And then we will have a new Viking era if the Nordic countries, with the exception of Sweden who will not participate in it, wins such a war of attrition against the UK. I have warned about this scenario for several years now. Why won’t they listen?!

But Biden must act fast fast, in order for him to get his limited war, due to that the US just about now has hit their debt ceiling and is at the very bottom of their domestic oil reserves.

The source for this is all Sveriges Radio

Roger Klang, Lund Scania Sweden

https://sverigesradio.se/konflikt Så ska EU stoppa migranterna

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