Possible shift in Biden’s grand strategic plans

Never assume that a world leader is good. I want to emphasize the importance that we should not be naive! Biden is thinking of the United States and Americans, when he conducts his politics. But if it does not affect the abilities for America or Americans to economically strengthen or at least maintain their leading position in the world, then of course he can throw a bone to a party outside of AUKUS and the border states of Canada and New Zealand, especially if Biden’s country benefits from it. Israel also has a key position, but I can’t really read out why the Israelis’ treatment of the Palestinians and the West Bank, plays such an important role in Biden’s and Blinken’s plans. However, you can read what Blinken said in black and white with the headline;  ”US warns Israel: Peace with Saudis getting ‘tougher, if not impossible’”; on the online medium World Israel News on July 5, 2023. Quote;

“We’ve told our friends and allies in Israel that if there’s a fire burning in their backyard, it’s going to be a lot tougher, if not impossible, to actually both deepen the existing agreements as well as to expand them to include potentially Saudi Arabia,” said Blinken.

He also said, quote;

“It’s also, at least in our judgment as Israel’s closest friend and ally, profoundly not in Israel’s interest for this to happen—both because of the added degree of difficulty that this presents for pursuing normalization agreements, or deepening them, but also because of the practical consequences,” he added. End quote

Why is it not marginal? As for the importance of the Abraham accords, I can understand why the US does not want it to develop between Israel and Saudi-Arabia right now. But it doesn’t seem like the haussed to the sky Israeli intelligence service Mossad really understands how the land lays or why it is so. They persist in opposing Biden’s plans. They have done so for a long time. Of course, the Israelis have an interest in the Middle East, but they should have fathomed that it is not in their interest that the United States fall to pieces by internal division, like once the Roman Empire did before them. We here in Sweden observe how the Israelis act more and more like their antagonists in Iran, Lebanon and Palestine. It’s just that Israel is more powerful than their enemies and they also have more powerful allies.

Have we considered that Israel is a special country? It is the land where Judaism, Islam and Christianity converge – in Jerusalem. In addition, there are elements of reincarnation in Judaism. We can think what we want about it, but the land of Israel is important to our own security. They are important to the whole of Europe’s security. The Israelis know this, why doesn’t the EU realize this? It is mindboggling to the Israelis, probably. We cannot let them perish.

It seems as if we are needed all of a sudden. Saudi-Arabia may be the new enemy. But don’t listen too much when Biden says that, quote; “We have always strongly supported Sweden to get Sweden into NATO” End quote. Empirical evidence shows the opposite. Not once has Biden commented on Erdogan’s tango dance with the Swedish government, but he has, under greatest possible silence, left us alone to cope as best we can in the recent past. It is clear who led in that tango dance, it wasn’t Ulf Kristersson in any case. (Spoiler alert, it was Erdogan.) But it can be differently now, Biden can show a “good” side if he wants to. It’s just that, as an Irish-American, he doesn’t like us Swedes at all. But probably even an Irishman can like Swedes. But not him. Then I don’t like him, and I will turn away my gaze when he is led screaming and kicking to the guillotine by his countrymen. The reactionaries always win in the long run. For being the world’s most powerful man, he poorly realizes that Sweden has been one of the biggest guarantors that the US will remain the master of the world, by our support purchase of US security bonds and us consistently refraining from selling them when the dollar has been under attack. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg of what we’ve done for the United States. But ingratitude is the wages of the weak.

Now a question. Are the Swedes prepared to contribute with troops in a future American war in the Middle East, for example against Saudi-Arabia and, in the extension, China? Are the Swedes prepared for a two-front war? Then we should join NATO. Otherwise, we will probably have to fight Russia alone. But we will win against Russia, mind you. Personally, I do not want to join NATO, because I think it will create greater strain on us in the long run. One must not forget that we have a domestic, quote; “situation”; to deal with, simultaneously. Of our two supposed choices, it is only an all-out Swedish war against Russia on Swedish soil that can straighten up our backbone and make, quote; “our”; criminals listless, which means that in that case we can turn the tide in Sweden. Also remember that a Swedish NATO membership in no way provides any guarantees that we will be able to stay out of a war against Russia in the event of a major war. An American war against one or more actors is in the long run inevitable unless the Gulf states change their mind, because China gets most of the oil from the Persian Gulf oil states and the US has domestic oil for perhaps only 12 more years of consumption if you are to believe the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 . I don’t think it’s possible to achieve, but if the US were to run its motor park and its many fossil fueled powerplants on domestic oil alone, that time would almost be halved to only six years of consumption. It has become more difficult to calculate precisely, because the CIA has deliberately made it so in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 compared to previous editions of the book. Maybe you can thank Me for that.

It is established in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK that Saudi-Arabia, just like Iran, and every other oil producing country in the Persian Gulf, does more business with China than with the United States. Saudi-Arabia has literally extended a hand to Iran recently. They are suicidal. It’s clear as hell that it has the potential to overturn the US original game plan. But in that case, it’s not the tiles that are moved alternate, the whole boardgame is likely to change.

Roger Klang

Update on world policies as of May 2023

It has been a long time since I last described what is going on in the world. The reason for that isn’t that I am left in the dark, on the contrary, I am more illuminated than ever. But the reason for my inactivity is that I have nurtured a hope that my country, Sweden, won’t be rendered ”Black Pete”, of the western world. Unfortunately I don’t think Joe Biden gets it, gets anything really. Today I am going to describe what will happen, with the big politics that the great powers may pursue, if Biden and Blinken succeeds.

The Turkish president Erdogan is doing the US and Russian bid of not letting in Sweden into Nato. I personally don’t care if he does or not.

The US administration still is working for our destruction as a country, and in the somewhat longer perspective the destruction of the whole of the EU. I have professed this information already. But here is a simplified short version:

The US administration is about to try and enforce the EU to admit many more refugees than what the EU has taken in, in the last years following on the Covid-19 pandemic. Their motive is a little bit unclear, but one motive may be that Biden and the US don’t want to be left in the wake as the only refugee taking country. They may not want to get ruined as a nation on their own, while the old world continue on with their civilization. But it may be, and I think it is an important factor, that the US long since and with different partisan politicians in the white house since at least Barrack Obama, wants to start this pending war with Iran but ultimately against China, together with the UK and the other five eyes countries and Israel. This is all about oil and phosphate and other raw materials. The US is running out of oil on their own soil fast. Since oil in the world is going to peter out in a few decades, the US wants to use their whole tool box in order to dump the EU and China in its backwater, fending for themselves without oil the best they can. This is a simplified description. Want proof?

I cannot definitely prove my case, but I can give you strong circumstantial evidence for it. Follow my reasoning:

Phosphates are used for crops and it is spread in pellets form across farmlands around the world to achieve significantly larger harvests. Estimates of phosphate production are sometimes difficult to understand because the phosphates are mined in different forms. The dominant form is ”Phosphate Rock”, a mineral that is usually mined in open pits. Two thirds of the world production are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the export market.

Oil will for the whole world last for maybe 14 years with the current consumption, from the year 2023. US phosphate reserves will last for 30 years for US use only. The United States do not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tons, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary. This did not prevent the United States from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later.

Can you think of an alternative reason why George W. Bush and the United States made a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006?

The world’s proven oil reserves of 1 trillion 726 billion barrels of oil in 2017 are thus sufficient for the whole world for maybe 14 years from 2023. However, there are uncertainties in these estimates. New oil fields are discovered on a regular basis, and since 1991, we have declared peak oil every year. But we have declared Peak Oil every year! Also the Ugandan oil deposits probably wreck my estimation a bit. But the southeast Asian countries’ economies are growing fast.

There are actually 161 different internationally traded crude oils on the stock market. It can seem insanely many since you as a consumer only have a few different options to choose from when you refuel your gasoline car. The crude oils all differ in terms of quality and price. Many grades of crude oil are suitable for production of diesel and fuel oil only. The Norwegian and British oil in the North Sea has been dubbed “Brent oil”. Brent oil is characterized by its high quality, and it is suitable for making gasoline from. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also known as Texas Light Sweet, is also a type of high-quality crude oil suitable for making gasoline from, and it is used as a benchmark in oil pricing alongside Brent. Both crude oils are light (low density) and sweet (low in sulfur). Other important oil markers include Dubai Crude and OPEC Reference Basket.

What is Biden and Blinken’s short term plan for the Nordic countries then? If Biden gets his wish he will create further animosity by our neighbors towards us Swedes. Russia knows what Biden wants to accomplish. Biden’s first wish is to see Russia attacking and invading Sweden, while he is left to do whatever he wants in the Middle East. The Kremlin just don’t see a Russian war solely against Sweden as being prioritized right now. Biden and Blinken in turn know this. So Biden and Blinken are covertly trying to whip up natural animosities into a tsunami wave from our closest neighbors, Denmark, Norway and Finland, to such extreme levels that our closest neighbors declare war against us Swedes. I feel a little bit like Israel!

What will such a war bring about in the world?

Granted, Sweden is and always has been an anomaly among the Nordic countries. There are plenty of well-preserved moss corpses in Denmark, Germany and even Norway, but there are only two well-preserved moss corpses from Sweden, including Scania, and one of the moss corpses was’nt from the Viking era. This clearly implies a different mindset by us Swedes at the time. We Swedes, including us Scanians, still have a different mindset. The very same different mindset as the one we had a 1000 years ago. In a future podcast I might go more into depth why I think there isn’t much of a cultural difference between modern Swedes and near prehistoric Swedes during and following the former migration period.

A Nordic cannibalistic war brings about chaos in Europe. If this by Biden and Blinken sought after war ever takes place, then we Swedes will win. It might even be that Denmark and Norway calculate with our victory, but that they want to proceed with their invasion plans against the UK, and this is pretty much what they must do then. Follow my reasoning here:

Such a war will make it much, much easier for Biden and the US together with the UK to dump the EU and leave them in the wake of the US and UK civilizations. Whatever did you think that Brexit was all about?

But of course, there are other strong heads, also in Europe. A Nordic war against the Nordic country of Sweden, with the EU risking to collapse because of the previous and current US administrations’ sinister scheme to in the near future cut off Europe’s supply chain of oil, would forge an alliance between Germany and Denmark/Norway against the US collaborator the UK. This in turn would possibly mean that the UK will be kinetically attacked by those countries. And then we will have a new Viking era if the Nordic countries, with the exception of Sweden who will not participate in it, wins such a war of attrition against the UK. I have warned about this scenario for several years now. Why won’t they listen?!

But Biden must act fast fast, in order for him to get his limited war, due to that the US just about now has hit their debt ceiling and is at the very bottom of their domestic oil reserves.

The source for this is all Sveriges Radio

Roger Klang, Lund Scania Sweden

https://sverigesradio.se/konflikt Så ska EU stoppa migranterna

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/liberalerna-sverige-bor-kunna-stotta-taiwan-militart-mot-kina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/uppgifter-usa-stottar-utbildning-av-ukrainska-piloter-for-f-16

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/zelenskyj-besokte-arabforbundet-uppmanar-ledarna-att-stotta-ukraina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/erdogan-inte-redo-att-slappa-in-sverige-i-nato-just-nu

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/nya-sanktioner-mot-ryssland-g7-landerna-overens

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/vattenfall-misstanks-for-prismanipulation

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/ryssland-angriper-avloppsverk-nu-ska-svenska-anlaggningar-starkas

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/republikanerna-lamnar-forhandlingarna-om-skuldtaket

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/usa-narmar-sig-skuldtaket-biden-forhandlar-med-republikanerna

Biden’s second strategic change

There are signs that the United States is changing course with its grand strategic plans. The oil dependent United States’ major political actions are often accurately interpreted in the Middle Eastern media platform Al Jazeera. The Al Jazeera news are then reflected in the Israeli news and interpreted in WIN and UWI and probably other Israeli media. The Kuwaitis seem to have realized what is going on in the grand strategic game. An article from February 6, 2022 in World Israel News is the first clear indication.

”Kuwait’s Information Ministry says Gal Gadot’s latest film shouldn’t be screened in country because she served in the IDF.”Quote WIN preamble

Biden has for a long time been increasingly withdrawing from Israel. The Israeli government officials are worried (this was the first sign).

It is not in the line of strategic thinking that the Arabs are failing cognitively. They are at least as good at strategic thinking and analysis as we are, maybe even better. It is in the field of operational and especially tactical areas that they fail cognitively. They also lack self-control to any great extent. Of course, the extremist Jihadists are not very knowledgeable. It is the more moderate Arabs, such as the Al Jazeera journalists, who can figure out grand strategy. They have many years of experience in following international media. Which extremist has that? In what country do extremists have experience in following international media at all? These people can not walk in other people’s moccasins at all. Al Jazeera is also generous with its information sharing and it is straightforward.

The reason why Biden has probably altered the US grand strategy is that the US is dependent on that the war against Iran becomes one in which the world community and above all Europe participates, and the USA is not exactly winning hearts and minds right now. That is probably slowly being rectified by Biden’s new strategic moves.

For those who are living on the back of the moon or are hearing these words at a much later moment in time I will just invoke the notion of a pending war in Europe. If you are preoccupied with the Eurovision festival please use headphones as bullets may be flying around your head.

If the Biden administration could have deceived the EU that it was Iran that wanted a war, then they would still not be able to obstruct China’s influence in the Persian Gulf, the Chinese could continue to buy oil from the oil producing countries there while the US is drained of young blood. Alternatively, there would be a war against China in any case. But it was a limited war that Biden was looking for and it would have been the opposite result in that case. Therefore, Biden probably sees it as a war against China and the United States is inevitable. And that war will not be started by the United States.

But we are not out of the woods yet. Sweden can still become a singular target for Russia. However, I think we can revise our previous position to the United States that Sweden only contributes and fights in its immediate area in the event of a major war if Biden have really changed his mind and called off the impending war against Iran. If so, we can ask what we can do for the US in the event of a war in the South China Sea. We can offer Biden our services.

Sources;

World Israel News (WIN), February 6, 2022;

Kuwait bans upcoming movie starring Gal Gadot, ‘former soldier in Zionist occupying army’

United With Israel (UWI), February 7, 2022;

Biden Should Be Ashamed of His Treatment of the UAE

United With Israel (UWI), February 7, 2022;

Will Biden’s ‘Bad Luck’ with Visits to Israel End in 2022?

Why there WILL be a major war, and why it’s going to cost a lot of American blood

Joe Biden, the senile old Satan, the Donald Trump follow up, thinks he is going to be able to avoid the coming world war at our expence as a state. Biden is a good little president, he just wants a LIMITED war. Oh how Godly isn’t Biden? I’ll tell you how good he is, not Godly enough to speak about ”God’s chosen nation”, just as didn’t president Trump. Why is that? Because they drained out God in their politics, actually already with Bush the younger. That’s because they cannot defend what they are doing any longer. They are just another rouge state today. But not just any rouge state, they are the mightiest rouge state, militarily speaking. Not morally speaking.

Biden recently said the following:

Quote; ”If you take a look at, you know, gas prices and you take a look at oil prices, that is a consequence of, thus far, the refusal of Russia or the OPEC nations to pump more oil. And we’ll see what happens on that score sooner than later.” End quote.

Biden knows, or has now learned in any case, that you can not fully switch to the production of an electric vehicle park in most places in the US, or anywhere in the world for that matter, which politicians and statesmen have fantasized about in free fall for a while now. This is what Biden says now:

Quote; “Well, on the surface, it seems like an irony, but the truth of the matter is – You’ve all known, everyone knows that the idea we’re going to be able to move to renewable energy over night and not have – from this moment on, not using oil or not using gas or not using hydrogen is just not rational.” End quote.

Biden’s administration has approved 339 permits per month to drill for oil on federal land. So it seems to me that I’m right that America’s installed oil resources are rapidly running out. However, I believe that, since he only granted a permit for oil drilling far out in the Gulf of Mexico where oil is still believed to exist, there can never be a really viable solution. As an example, I can mention that the experimental oil rig “Perdido” is hardly economically profitable. In my book “World policies, how it works” I wrote:

In comparison, the giant American oil rig “Perdido”, which is located 300 km off-shore in the Mexican Gulf, can pump up maybe 86,000 barrels of oil per day. The oil rig itself cost 3,000,000,000 dollars to build. That means a liter price of 4 dollars or 15 dollars per gallon if the oil rig stands for fifteen years. And that’s not counting profit margins, salaries for the oil rig’s personnel and maintenance or production stop, nor do I estimate the deconstruction costs. But on the other hand it is a low estimation of the oil rig’s total lifespan. Imagine that, 15 dollars per gallon! The numbers suggest that Perdido is only an experimental platform. But Perdido is extremely remote.

It is also interesting that he mentions “Hydrogen” a bit like in passing in the video.

I would like to take this opportunity to point out that the United States and China are in a deadlock. The United States owns the sea routes for warships and several friendly ports to the oil in the Persian Gulf, but China has Taiwan and South Korea in its grip and thus they have more than 75% of the world’s semiconductor industry within reach. Do not think, as the Americans do or have done, that Taiwan’s strategic status is about the Chinese butt being hurt. Even the Japanese have understood. Japan realizes its strategic disadvantage and in November 2021 signed a contract to allow Taiwan’s and the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturer, TSMC, to open a branch in Japan together with SONY Group. Japan currently imports 64% of its semiconductor components.

China’s naval warships simply do not have the range to reach even the island of Sri Lanka in the southern part of India. Both China and the United States depend on friendly ports and fuel oil for warships. The United States’ allied Australia has its grip on the oil in East Timor, which has historically cost the small island nation blood before it was even a nation.

The Chinese have a more recent, lousy track record with unfavorable loans, which as a rule has meant that poorer nations have bowed under the debt pressure and been forced to set aside ports to transfer them to Chinese ownership/control. Awareness of this has increased among poor nations, but most of them have already learned the hard way.

A quote; “Up to 90% of the semiconductors applied by US technological companies – including Apple, Nvidia, and Qualcomm – rely on Taiwanese manufacturing.” End quote.

Another quote; ”Today, only 16 percent of the semiconductors used in China are produced in-country, and only half of these are made by Chinese firms. China is very dependent on foreign suppliers for advanced chips.” End quote.

Soon there will be a major war for real. When the United States goes all out for a war against Iran, China will devour Taiwan and perhaps South Korea. At the same time, Russia will devour Ukraine if they do not understand Blinken’s flirtation and the United States’ offer to serve Sweden and perhaps parts of the Nordic region on a platter. Kremlins do not seem to have understood that it is quote; “playbook”, and Biden has a soft spot for Ukraine. Biden hardly has a soft spot for Sweden.

Blinken recently proclaimed regarding Russia and Ukraine, quote in quote;

“But, we do know it is playbook.”

Playbook means in English.

A book containing a team’s plans for a game, especially in American football.

It may be that the Kremlin has understood Blinken’s “But, we do know it is playbook.” nod to Putin. Otherwise, Putin would not build up with 110,000 troops at the border with Ukraine, he would stack up the odds in Syria and Iran.

Of course, the American administration knows who I am. Blinken probably knows that I’m not into sports. And I certainly do not know American football terminology. This statement by Blinken is thus all the more suspicious. Except I looked it up. But judging by Putin’s reaction a little later on in the video where Blinken said this, Putin was taken on the bedside by the US Naval activities in the Black Sea. But Putin quickly seized the opportunity and condemned the US “unplanned exercises” in the Black Sea and, as usual, turned the whole course of events to his favor. However, I can bet that the US Naval activities in the Black Sea came only AFTER Putin’s troop contractions. Otherwise, it would be even more suspicious what the Americans are doing. It’s a little strange that the US Navy and USAF are sending nuclear weapons platforms to the Black Sea, both navy and B-52s. Why?

But perhaps Putin does not see it eye to eye. As far as I know, there are no nuclear weapons on surface ships in the US Navy anymore. But maybe Putin meant submarines?

After watching the video again, I understood that Putin was referring only to the B-52s and not to the warships, but at the same time he took the opportunity to sow the seeds of suspicion by expressing himself vaguely. All the more reason to believe that Putin was taken by the bedside. Check out the causality is my suggestion, who was there first with what. What are the Americans’ motives for sending strategic B-52s? Especially as Blinken says, quote;

“And as we made clear, any escalatorial or aggressive actions would be of great concern to the United States”. End quote.

The whole thing does not seem to be a deescalation, but it seems to be an escalation.

Sources:

World Israel News (WIN)

United With israel (UWI)

Hanoi 2.0 – the total withdrawal

Already Hillary Clinton threw the glove too early at China when she wrote in November 2011; ”When the war in Iraq ends and the US withdraws from Afghanistan, the United States faces a turning point in the US Pacific Ocean.” Hillary Clinton revealed the US plans which could be interpreted as the United States doing as they please and that no morality is necessary to apply to any emerging situation for the US to take the right to intervene in any part of the world.

Trump was the president who almost completed the withdrawal from Afghanistan. Obama was the president who started the withdrawal. What we see is not the result of left-right politics, what we see is the result of an ”America first” policy, which almost all politicians in the United States agree on. Everyone knew that they would withdraw. But if they had taken their time with a sequential withdrawal, it would not have been any better, as far as I can see. Because then the soldiers who remained would have been slaughtered, or at least the risk of that happening would be significant. I mostly object to that the United States and Biden did not warn their allies about the withdrawal. The reason was probably that they did not want to alert the Taliban about the American withdrawal. The US administration had to choose between pulling off the patch quick or slow. I always pull off my patches quickly because it’s milder that way.

The withdrawal came now, because Biden is aiming for a war against Iran via mainly Syria and on Syrian soil first, as also Trump had set his mind on. Trump certainly reduced the troops in Afghanistan from 15,000 to an absolute minimum of 2,500 men. There was only one last remnant of American troops left to bring home for Biden. Plus, the US militarily allied (what a joke) countries’ military forces briefly remained in the country. Several of the allied countries were completely unprepared for the sudden withdrawal by the United States. But American lives must be secured in their own war against the Taliban. It is not optimal to attack Iran with ground forces deployed on Afghan territory.

The United States is not primarily out to ”steal” the Iranian oil. They are trying to prevent a total Chinese hegemony in the Persian Gulf, because the United States needs the oil from the Persian Gulf. China does more business in the Persian Gulf than any other country, and even Saudi-Arabia has committed itself more economically to China than to the United States. But Saudi-Arabia’s US military technology are not necessarily compatible with Chinese military technology. Saudi-Arabia is not likely starting over and instead buying Chinese military technology. Except for maybe drones and some other, less advanced technology then. The United States gets at least a third of its oil from the Persian Gulf and has probably always done so. The fracking in Texas was just a staged scenery, in the regard that they have a very limited amount of oil reserves left. Maybe the gasoline oil in Texas will be sufficient until 2024 if it is to supply the entire United States.

It did not take long before some hawk in Israel acted on the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. because a war against Iran led by the United States, Israel wants and has wanted ever since Trump’s term as president and the Netanyahu era. It makes me suspect that Israel does not have its own strategic nuclear weapons after all.

“Artificially intelligent Israeli-made drones securing UAE oil fields” Headline; WIN August 17, 2021

“Bennett to discuss Iranian threat with Biden in Washington” Headline; WIN August 18, 2021

More puzzle pieces that confirm an impending war will surely follow.

If there comes another big war in the pacific, I hope for the US to win. If there comes a war in Syria to continue in Iran to counter the Chinese influence in the Persian Gulf, I am not so certain I want the US to win.

Sources:

Mimers brunn

World Israel News (WIN)