Already Hillary Clinton threw the glove too early at China when she wrote in November 2011; ”When the war in Iraq ends and the US withdraws from Afghanistan, the United States faces a turning point in the US Pacific Ocean.” Hillary Clinton revealed the US plans which could be interpreted as the United States doing as they please and that no morality is necessary to apply to any emerging situation for the US to take the right to intervene in any part of the world.
Trump was the president who almost completed the withdrawal from Afghanistan. Obama was the president who started the withdrawal. What we see is not the result of left-right politics, what we see is the result of an ”America first” policy, which almost all politicians in the United States agree on. Everyone knew that they would withdraw. But if they had taken their time with a sequential withdrawal, it would not have been any better, as far as I can see. Because then the soldiers who remained would have been slaughtered, or at least the risk of that happening would be significant. I mostly object to that the United States and Biden did not warn their allies about the withdrawal. The reason was probably that they did not want to alert the Taliban about the American withdrawal. The US administration had to choose between pulling off the patch quick or slow. I always pull off my patches quickly because it’s milder that way.
The withdrawal came now, because Biden is aiming for a war against Iran via mainly Syria and on Syrian soil first, as also Trump had set his mind on. Trump certainly reduced the troops in Afghanistan from 15,000 to an absolute minimum of 2,500 men. There was only one last remnant of American troops left to bring home for Biden. Plus, the US militarily allied (what a joke) countries’ military forces briefly remained in the country. Several of the allied countries were completely unprepared for the sudden withdrawal by the United States. But American lives must be secured in their own war against the Taliban. It is not optimal to attack Iran with ground forces deployed on Afghan territory.
The United States is not primarily out to ”steal” the Iranian oil. They are trying to prevent a total Chinese hegemony in the Persian Gulf, because the United States needs the oil from the Persian Gulf. China does more business in the Persian Gulf than any other country, and even Saudi-Arabia has committed itself more economically to China than to the United States. But Saudi-Arabia’s US military technology are not necessarily compatible with Chinese military technology. Saudi-Arabia is not likely starting over and instead buying Chinese military technology. Except for maybe drones and some other, less advanced technology then. The United States gets at least a third of its oil from the Persian Gulf and has probably always done so. The fracking in Texas was just a staged scenery, in the regard that they have a very limited amount of oil reserves left. Maybe the gasoline oil in Texas will be sufficient until 2024 if it is to supply the entire United States.
It did not take long before some hawk in Israel acted on the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. because a war against Iran led by the United States, Israel wants and has wanted ever since Trump’s term as president and the Netanyahu era. It makes me suspect that Israel does not have its own strategic nuclear weapons after all.
“Artificially intelligent Israeli-made drones securing UAE oil fields” Headline; WIN August 17, 2021
“Bennett to discuss Iranian threat with Biden in Washington” Headline; WIN August 18, 2021
More puzzle pieces that confirm an impending war will surely follow.
If there comes another big war in the pacific, I hope for the US to win. If there comes a war in Syria to continue in Iran to counter the Chinese influence in the Persian Gulf, I am not so certain I want the US to win.
Sources:
Mimers brunn
World Israel News (WIN)
The strategist cowboy 