Tag: Iran

The coming October war 2023 in the Persian Gulf

I maintain that there will start a by the US long time planned war, very soon in the Middle East. Within a month’s time, probably in less than two weeks’ time. It is the most obvious choice of victim, Iran, and not Saudi-Arabia. Well, I wouldn’t really call Iran’s theocracy victims. Iran has actively been engaging in the skirmishes and wars taking place in the whole of the Middle East area for many years now. They are just reaping what they themselves sew. But if the US make war like they did in Iraq in 2003, it will be ordinary Iranian people picking up the tab. The US Phosphorous bombs and thermobaric bombs and depleted uranium shells will see to that. Phosphorous bombs are really, really, ugly. Getting exposed to them kills people in a truly horrendous way. It can be compared to dying by torture in the middle-ages. The US hurled them against the city of Fallujah in Iraq in 2003, because they could and that’s that. It was the phony Christian, George W. Bush’s responsibility. “Shock-and-awe” and all that.

United With Israel reports October 1st, 2023, quote:

Iran has the infrastructure in place and the know-how to make a nuclear weapon in less than two weeks, according to the U.S. Department of Defense’s 2023 Strategy for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction report.

“It is assessed that Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapons program at this time, but has the capacity to produce enough fissile material for a nuclear device in less than two weeks,” said the report, which outlines Washington’s strategic approach to countering the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction globally.

“Further, the United States assesses Iran to be noncompliant with its CWC [Chemical Weapons Convention] obligations. For example, Iran has not submitted a complete chemical weapons production facility declaration to comply with CWC processes. The United States is also concerned that Iran is pursuing dual-use central nervous system-acting chemicals for offensive purposes,” added the report.

United With Israel

End quote

It looks like the Biden administration has another ace up its sleeve, in order to create Casus Belli for the US in the soon to be war. The threat of chemical weapons, which Iran hasn’t utilized up to now. But they are, quote, “pursuing” it!

But what da heck is “Dual-use” supposed to mean?

Casus Belli means “Cause for war” in Latin. They like their Latin, the big brass.

Roger Klang

Thank you and see you later alligator, at a while crocodile!

The source for this lesson was: United With Israel

Tehran can Make Nuclear Bomb in Less Than Two Weeks, According to US Defense Department

Possible shift in Biden’s grand strategic plans

Never assume that a world leader is good. I want to emphasize the importance that we should not be naive! Biden is thinking of the United States and Americans, when he conducts his politics. But if it does not affect the abilities for America or Americans to economically strengthen or at least maintain their leading position in the world, then of course he can throw a bone to a party outside of AUKUS and the border states of Canada and New Zealand, especially if Biden’s country benefits from it. Israel also has a key position, but I can’t really read out why the Israelis’ treatment of the Palestinians and the West Bank, plays such an important role in Biden’s and Blinken’s plans. However, you can read what Blinken said in black and white with the headline;  ”US warns Israel: Peace with Saudis getting ‘tougher, if not impossible’”; on the online medium World Israel News on July 5, 2023. Quote;

“We’ve told our friends and allies in Israel that if there’s a fire burning in their backyard, it’s going to be a lot tougher, if not impossible, to actually both deepen the existing agreements as well as to expand them to include potentially Saudi Arabia,” said Blinken.

He also said, quote;

“It’s also, at least in our judgment as Israel’s closest friend and ally, profoundly not in Israel’s interest for this to happen—both because of the added degree of difficulty that this presents for pursuing normalization agreements, or deepening them, but also because of the practical consequences,” he added. End quote

Why is it not marginal? As for the importance of the Abraham accords, I can understand why the US does not want it to develop between Israel and Saudi-Arabia right now. But it doesn’t seem like the haussed to the sky Israeli intelligence service Mossad really understands how the land lays or why it is so. They persist in opposing Biden’s plans. They have done so for a long time. Of course, the Israelis have an interest in the Middle East, but they should have fathomed that it is not in their interest that the United States fall to pieces by internal division, like once the Roman Empire did before them. We here in Sweden observe how the Israelis act more and more like their antagonists in Iran, Lebanon and Palestine. It’s just that Israel is more powerful than their enemies and they also have more powerful allies.

Have we considered that Israel is a special country? It is the land where Judaism, Islam and Christianity converge – in Jerusalem. In addition, there are elements of reincarnation in Judaism. We can think what we want about it, but the land of Israel is important to our own security. They are important to the whole of Europe’s security. The Israelis know this, why doesn’t the EU realize this? It is mindboggling to the Israelis, probably. We cannot let them perish.

It seems as if we are needed all of a sudden. Saudi-Arabia may be the new enemy. But don’t listen too much when Biden says that, quote; “We have always strongly supported Sweden to get Sweden into NATO” End quote. Empirical evidence shows the opposite. Not once has Biden commented on Erdogan’s tango dance with the Swedish government, but he has, under greatest possible silence, left us alone to cope as best we can in the recent past. It is clear who led in that tango dance, it wasn’t Ulf Kristersson in any case. (Spoiler alert, it was Erdogan.) But it can be differently now, Biden can show a “good” side if he wants to. It’s just that, as an Irish-American, he doesn’t like us Swedes at all. But probably even an Irishman can like Swedes. But not him. Then I don’t like him, and I will turn away my gaze when he is led screaming and kicking to the guillotine by his countrymen. The reactionaries always win in the long run. For being the world’s most powerful man, he poorly realizes that Sweden has been one of the biggest guarantors that the US will remain the master of the world, by our support purchase of US security bonds and us consistently refraining from selling them when the dollar has been under attack. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg of what we’ve done for the United States. But ingratitude is the wages of the weak.

Now a question. Are the Swedes prepared to contribute with troops in a future American war in the Middle East, for example against Saudi-Arabia and, in the extension, China? Are the Swedes prepared for a two-front war? Then we should join NATO. Otherwise, we will probably have to fight Russia alone. But we will win against Russia, mind you. Personally, I do not want to join NATO, because I think it will create greater strain on us in the long run. One must not forget that we have a domestic, quote; “situation”; to deal with, simultaneously. Of our two supposed choices, it is only an all-out Swedish war against Russia on Swedish soil that can straighten up our backbone and make, quote; “our”; criminals listless, which means that in that case we can turn the tide in Sweden. Also remember that a Swedish NATO membership in no way provides any guarantees that we will be able to stay out of a war against Russia in the event of a major war. An American war against one or more actors is in the long run inevitable unless the Gulf states change their mind, because China gets most of the oil from the Persian Gulf oil states and the US has domestic oil for perhaps only 12 more years of consumption if you are to believe the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 . I don’t think it’s possible to achieve, but if the US were to run its motor park and its many fossil fueled powerplants on domestic oil alone, that time would almost be halved to only six years of consumption. It has become more difficult to calculate precisely, because the CIA has deliberately made it so in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2023-2024 compared to previous editions of the book. Maybe you can thank Me for that.

It is established in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK that Saudi-Arabia, just like Iran, and every other oil producing country in the Persian Gulf, does more business with China than with the United States. Saudi-Arabia has literally extended a hand to Iran recently. They are suicidal. It’s clear as hell that it has the potential to overturn the US original game plan. But in that case, it’s not the tiles that are moved alternate, the whole boardgame is likely to change.

Roger Klang

Update on world policies as of May 2023

It has been a long time since I last described what is going on in the world. The reason for that isn’t that I am left in the dark, on the contrary, I am more illuminated than ever. But the reason for my inactivity is that I have nurtured a hope that my country, Sweden, won’t be rendered ”Black Pete”, of the western world. Unfortunately I don’t think Joe Biden gets it, gets anything really. Today I am going to describe what will happen, with the big politics that the great powers may pursue, if Biden and Blinken succeeds.

The Turkish president Erdogan is doing the US and Russian bid of not letting in Sweden into Nato. I personally don’t care if he does or not.

The US administration still is working for our destruction as a country, and in the somewhat longer perspective the destruction of the whole of the EU. I have professed this information already. But here is a simplified short version:

The US administration is about to try and enforce the EU to admit many more refugees than what the EU has taken in, in the last years following on the Covid-19 pandemic. Their motive is a little bit unclear, but one motive may be that Biden and the US don’t want to be left in the wake as the only refugee taking country. They may not want to get ruined as a nation on their own, while the old world continue on with their civilization. But it may be, and I think it is an important factor, that the US long since and with different partisan politicians in the white house since at least Barrack Obama, wants to start this pending war with Iran but ultimately against China, together with the UK and the other five eyes countries and Israel. This is all about oil and phosphate and other raw materials. The US is running out of oil on their own soil fast. Since oil in the world is going to peter out in a few decades, the US wants to use their whole tool box in order to dump the EU and China in its backwater, fending for themselves without oil the best they can. This is a simplified description. Want proof?

I cannot definitely prove my case, but I can give you strong circumstantial evidence for it. Follow my reasoning:

Phosphates are used for crops and it is spread in pellets form across farmlands around the world to achieve significantly larger harvests. Estimates of phosphate production are sometimes difficult to understand because the phosphates are mined in different forms. The dominant form is ”Phosphate Rock”, a mineral that is usually mined in open pits. Two thirds of the world production are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the export market.

Oil will for the whole world last for maybe 14 years with the current consumption, from the year 2023. US phosphate reserves will last for 30 years for US use only. The United States do not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tons, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary. This did not prevent the United States from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later.

Can you think of an alternative reason why George W. Bush and the United States made a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006?

The world’s proven oil reserves of 1 trillion 726 billion barrels of oil in 2017 are thus sufficient for the whole world for maybe 14 years from 2023. However, there are uncertainties in these estimates. New oil fields are discovered on a regular basis, and since 1991, we have declared peak oil every year. But we have declared Peak Oil every year! Also the Ugandan oil deposits probably wreck my estimation a bit. But the southeast Asian countries’ economies are growing fast.

There are actually 161 different internationally traded crude oils on the stock market. It can seem insanely many since you as a consumer only have a few different options to choose from when you refuel your gasoline car. The crude oils all differ in terms of quality and price. Many grades of crude oil are suitable for production of diesel and fuel oil only. The Norwegian and British oil in the North Sea has been dubbed “Brent oil”. Brent oil is characterized by its high quality, and it is suitable for making gasoline from. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also known as Texas Light Sweet, is also a type of high-quality crude oil suitable for making gasoline from, and it is used as a benchmark in oil pricing alongside Brent. Both crude oils are light (low density) and sweet (low in sulfur). Other important oil markers include Dubai Crude and OPEC Reference Basket.

What is Biden and Blinken’s short term plan for the Nordic countries then? If Biden gets his wish he will create further animosity by our neighbors towards us Swedes. Russia knows what Biden wants to accomplish. Biden’s first wish is to see Russia attacking and invading Sweden, while he is left to do whatever he wants in the Middle East. The Kremlin just don’t see a Russian war solely against Sweden as being prioritized right now. Biden and Blinken in turn know this. So Biden and Blinken are covertly trying to whip up natural animosities into a tsunami wave from our closest neighbors, Denmark, Norway and Finland, to such extreme levels that our closest neighbors declare war against us Swedes. I feel a little bit like Israel!

What will such a war bring about in the world?

Granted, Sweden is and always has been an anomaly among the Nordic countries. There are plenty of well-preserved moss corpses in Denmark, Germany and even Norway, but there are only two well-preserved moss corpses from Sweden, including Scania, and one of the moss corpses was’nt from the Viking era. This clearly implies a different mindset by us Swedes at the time. We Swedes, including us Scanians, still have a different mindset. The very same different mindset as the one we had a 1000 years ago. In a future podcast I might go more into depth why I think there isn’t much of a cultural difference between modern Swedes and near prehistoric Swedes during and following the former migration period.

A Nordic cannibalistic war brings about chaos in Europe. If this by Biden and Blinken sought after war ever takes place, then we Swedes will win. It might even be that Denmark and Norway calculate with our victory, but that they want to proceed with their invasion plans against the UK, and this is pretty much what they must do then. Follow my reasoning here:

Such a war will make it much, much easier for Biden and the US together with the UK to dump the EU and leave them in the wake of the US and UK civilizations. Whatever did you think that Brexit was all about?

But of course, there are other strong heads, also in Europe. A Nordic war against the Nordic country of Sweden, with the EU risking to collapse because of the previous and current US administrations’ sinister scheme to in the near future cut off Europe’s supply chain of oil, would forge an alliance between Germany and Denmark/Norway against the US collaborator the UK. This in turn would possibly mean that the UK will be kinetically attacked by those countries. And then we will have a new Viking era if the Nordic countries, with the exception of Sweden who will not participate in it, wins such a war of attrition against the UK. I have warned about this scenario for several years now. Why won’t they listen?!

But Biden must act fast fast, in order for him to get his limited war, due to that the US just about now has hit their debt ceiling and is at the very bottom of their domestic oil reserves.

The source for this is all Sveriges Radio

Roger Klang, Lund Scania Sweden

https://sverigesradio.se/konflikt Så ska EU stoppa migranterna

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/liberalerna-sverige-bor-kunna-stotta-taiwan-militart-mot-kina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/uppgifter-usa-stottar-utbildning-av-ukrainska-piloter-for-f-16

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/zelenskyj-besokte-arabforbundet-uppmanar-ledarna-att-stotta-ukraina

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/erdogan-inte-redo-att-slappa-in-sverige-i-nato-just-nu

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/nya-sanktioner-mot-ryssland-g7-landerna-overens

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/vattenfall-misstanks-for-prismanipulation

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/ryssland-angriper-avloppsverk-nu-ska-svenska-anlaggningar-starkas

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/republikanerna-lamnar-forhandlingarna-om-skuldtaket

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/usa-narmar-sig-skuldtaket-biden-forhandlar-med-republikanerna

Project 2049 Institute

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I wonder why Project 2049 Institute has an odd year like 2049 in the name? You could probably figure out why they have this year in their organization’s name. Energy, oil, maritime trade, technology, the Navy, future wars, Cobalt/Nickel and other Rare earth minerals used for batteries, military armament, international politics and alliances certainly play a role there.

I believe that the US withdrawal of their support for the Israeli underwater gas pipeline to Cyprus, Greece and Europe was a trade off to Russia.

One clue is Turkey’s sudden benign approach to Armenia lately. Russia certainly has something to do with it. Biden’s administration’s statement that minor intrusions by Russia into Ukraine is not really a casus belli for a US intervention gives us a clue that the United States wants a war against Iran as soon as possible, preferably involving a UN intervention, and they are really not interested in fighting two or more different adversaries. I am thinking of Iran, Russia and China.

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/toppdiplomaten-inga-planer-pa-amerikanska-soldater-i-ukraina

  • ”But at present there are no plans to send US ground troops to defend Ukraine.”
  • ”We want Ukraine to be able to defend itself, not go to war with Russia,” the deputy US ambassador to Sweden told Studio Ett.

First, it is hardly Ukraine that is waging war against Russia. Ukraine is defending itself against the belligerent Russia. Does Biden’s administration want Ukraine not to defend itself if only Russia would limit its military influence to eastern Ukraine? ”But we do know it’s playbook,” as Blinken said in late 2021.

WIN January 20, 2022

EastMed pipeline said to be politically “destabilising” as well as economically and environmentally unviable.”

By David Hellerman, World Israel News

U.S. officials have notified Israel, Greece and Cyprus that Washington no longer supports a joint gas pipeline intended to supply Europe with natural gas.

Greek media reports, which broke the story, cited a U.S. “non-document” or unofficial position paper which characterized the EastMed pipeline as a “primary source of tension” and something “destabilising” the region because of Turkish opposition.

The joint pipeline, a $6.8 billion initiative, was expected to provide Europe with ten percent of its energy needs, reducing the continent’s dependence on Russian natural gas.

A widely cited Reuters report quoted a source who said, “The American side expressed to the Greek side reservations as to the rationale of the EastMed pipeline, (and) raised issues of its economic viability and environmental (issues).”

In 2018, Israel signed an agreement with Italy, Greece, and Cyprus to lay the mostly underwater gas pipeline. Running from the Israel’s Leviathan gas field to Italy via a Cypriot gas field, Crete and the Greek mainland, the EastMed pipeline planned to traverse 1,900 kilometers (1,242 miles). The project won U.S. support in 2019.

The pipeline was supposed to be operational in 2025 and eventually carry 10 billion cubic meters of gas to Europe annually.

Media reports say the initiative has not secured funding. None of the EastMed partner countries have publicly commented on what Washington’s position means for the pipeline’s future.

Turkey, which doesn’t recognize Cyprus as a nation, claims the island and its offshore resources for itself, and opposed the endeavor. On numerous occasions, the Turkish Navy harassed Israeli and Cypriot vessels doing exploratory work.

The EastMed project was also competing with a Russian-Turkish pipeline, the Turkstream, which began delivering gas to Europe in 2020.

On Tuesday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told reporters, “If [Israeli gas] would be brought to Europe, it could only be done through Turkey,” according to a transcript released by Erdogan’s office. “Is there any hope for now? We can sit and talk about the conditions.”

The pipeline also faced the formidable geophysical challenges of passing through very deep water, sometimes at depths of 3 kilometers (1.8 miles) in an area known for seismic activity.

I had to include the whole WIN article from January 20 above, because it looks like the Biden administration has struck a deal with Russia. ”We do this for you if you restrain Turkey in the coming US war, Putin.” Biden is raking the manege for the coming war. It doesn’t look like the Israelis are aware of Biden’s plans in the North involving Russia and war.

It is in the interest of the United States that Turkey be kept in check during an American war in Syria against Iran, and Russia’s goodwill is absolutely necessary for that to happen. That is why the course of events between Russia, Turkey and Armenia is benign in January of 2022. There you see, if you just want it hard enough, you can very quickly create peace and harmony in the world. If you can trust World Israel News (WIN) from January 19 2022 Israel wants it bad enough [temporarily].

”…Diplomatic talks are ongoing with Israel, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said in a press conference late Tuesday, underlining that his Israeli counterpart Isaac Herzog may visit Turkey soon…” Quote; WIN

However, not to mention something important. Biden warned Russia about Russia invading Ukraine, according to Sveriges Radio the 20th of January 2022. ”Do I think he’ll test the West, Yes, I think he will! But I think he will pay a serious and dear price for it.” Quote; Joe Biden

Biden is trying hard to spare Ukraine from a war.

Sources:

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/toppdiplomaten-inga-planer-pa-amerikanska-soldater-i-ukraina

World Israel News

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/biden-varnar-ryssland-om-ukraina

The Nile river

Sunni-Muslim Sudan is the next country together with Morocco and Oman to be on the Israeli list of charm offensives, according to the news site United With Israel from the 13th of October 2021.

Of course it helps that Israel can become a conciliator between Sudan and Egypt concerning the fresh water from the Nile and dam projects in Sudan. And why do Israel want to be friends with Morocco? Two words; precious Phosphates, needed by the US farmers. And Oman is strategically located at the inlet to the Persian gulf. That’s it, at least as far as I understand it.

A reiteration: A good two thirds of the world production of phosphates are mined in China, the United States and Morocco/Western Sahara. Morocco and the, by Morocco occupied Western Sahara account for 30 percent of the world export market. US phosphate reserves will last for nearly 30 years for US use only. The United States does not export phosphate ore. Neither does China. The world’s phosphate reserves are estimated to be around 15 billion tonnes, which is sufficient for the world’s consumption for 90 years with current technology, according to the US Geological Survey. Phosphate production in the world will not come to a critical low level before the world’s oil reserves peter out. Thus, phosphate production in Morocco/Western Sahara is strategically secondary, or should be. But this did not prevent the US from making a bilateral trade deal with Morocco in 2006. The European Union didn’t jump on the train until two years later. And the early US bilateral trade deal with Morocco is also a spoiler for us Europeans. Are the US and Israel thus heading for a war on Iran in order to hog the oil from the Persian Gulf? Short answer, Yes. Long answer, don’t forget about Taiwan and the Chinese ambitions.

Also, UAE and Bahrain have been charmed by the Israelis already. The US is going to get a severe oil shortage sometime around 2024. The US wants war, Israel wants war, not necessarily for the same reason, short term. There is going to be a war against Iran, unless Iran complies with their then master the US. Do you think that it is a coincidence that the Arab states, Saudi-Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and UAE suddenly changed their negative policies into an including policy on israel? No, the Arabs on the Arabian peninsula in particular would all too happily see an American and Israeli war against Iran. Iran isn’t just Israel’s worst enemy, it is in practice the Arabs’ worst enemy too. They feel very threatened by Iran. They themselves do not want to fight Iran but would happily fuel the war and support the US use of the American bases in Qatar, Bahrain and UAE.

Saudi-Arabia knows they are not ready to fight Iran, and they probably never will be ready for a fight against Iran. Israel on the other hand is ready for a war. But I am sceptical about how it could be possible for the Israelis to strike the bunker systems at Mashad in Iran where the strategic nuclear forces will be located, at least with the Israeli Air Force without help from the US.

A quote from a seemingly well informed Israeli: ”Indeed, it won’t be easy for the IDF. They do have some bunker-buster technology, but what they need for the Iranian deep, heavily armored and hardened bunkers is re-entrant hypervelocity Mach 10+ bunkerbusters. Those are launched from space and only the US has that capability. The good news is that these are, due to the extreme speed, horrendously powerful. Although completely conventional, one single penetration hit has the equivalent explosive damage as that from a medium-yield nuclear weapon.”

Does the US really have such a space weapon? Who knows, they certainly have become more restricted with publishing information about their military technical progress and achievements.

Source:

United With Israel