Australian bushfires 2019-2020, Lesson fortyfive

I suspect organized incendiaries, like we had in Västergötland and Småland in Sweden in 2018. Even though it was just as hot in the whole of Sweden that year, the many separated fires started only in those two regions. In Småland it was even concentrated around one community. By looking at the satellite image below one can easily conclude that the fires in Australia all originates from populated places. It’s suspicious that all these fires starts almost all at once, and as it seems, all in Australia and not the other parts of the pacific area.

I think we can be pretty sure what group of people started our fires here in Sweden. In Australia however it is not so easy to single out one group of incendiaries. There are two groups. There is a country called China which can stand behind such atrocities of organized arson over the whole of Australia simultaneously. But nowhere else in the pacific area? I’d be inclined to think that the radical muslims in Australian communities are not so organized to be able to pull off such a stunt in the short amount of time they had to start all the existing fires. Not by themselves anyway, and not without the Australian government knowing about it. The little dots of fire in the albeit manipulated and colored satellite image below indicates many arsonists.

The thing is that Australia, or at least certain individuals in Australia, in the late 2019 put in a higher gear in both politics and media, as they have become tougher against Beijing. That’s what it seems like anyway. In november 2019, Australian 60 minutes, made two tough reportages of which both had the prong aimed at Beijing China.

WORLD EXCLUSIVE: CHINESE SPY SPILLS SECRET TO EXPOSE COMMUNIST ESPIONAGE, was about a former Chinese spy that wanted to defect to Australia. His only weapon was the truth. He said in the interview that he knew that the only possible way to receive an Australian citizenship was to cooperate truthfully with the Australian authorities. He also knew that he was going to die should he be compromized by the Chinese in Australia or if he was sent back to China with his family. The producer’s name was Grace Tobin.

Only days before that reportage the Australian 60 minutes did an important reportage, INVESTIGATION: WHY IS CHINA ON THE MOVE IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. It was a reportage that was a real threat to Chinas interests and plans for the whole region of both the South China Sea and several strategic islands in the Pacific Ocean. The reportage was much about the allegations of corruption against the president of the Solomon Islands involving the Chinese, who was accused by Daniel Sudaini, the premier of Malaita. Malaita is one of Solomon Islands’ largest and most populous provinces.

They talk in Australia about what China calls ”The Blue Economic Passage” which is supposed to go through the island of Kiribati down to Antarctica passed the Eastern waters of Australia. The Australians believe the name is just a cover story for a comprehensive plan to dominate the region. In the Solomon Island there is a gold mine now signed over to China. And in Bouganville in Papua New Guinea there is a gigantic gold/copper mine that Beijing is really interested in. But in Papua Guinea they are still open for other offers.

Now, about the fires in 2019-2020. They are not yet (mid January 2020) the largest fires in Australian history, but they are the most devastating and closer to urban populations than ever before.  Bushfires in Australia can occur all year-round, though the severity and the “bushfire season” varies by region. That is why these fires are so suspicious since they occure all over populated Australia at almost one and the same instance, as seen in the image below. They are taking place in 6 territories simultaneously. Only in the fires of 2006-2007 did something similar happen, then in five territories. Of course it could happen that all over the continent there were thousands of thunder clouds at once since lightning normally is the number one incendiary for bushfires. Were there?

 

My conclusion

I suspect that Beijing now is feeling safe enough to ”cut Australia loose and sink it”. But they may have acted just a little bit premature out of anger towards the Australian journalists and politicians. What we do know is that bushfires at this scale is by far the cheapest and simplest way to brake the Australian economy. We also know that there is a power struggle going on between China and the US in and around the South China Sea and that the US as well as China have high stakes in the Persian Gulf right now and the US needs Australia as a dairy supplier to the US Navy, now more than ever since the US is losing more and more markets in the region with China’s growing influence. Yes I said dairy supplier. The US Navy and the US Marines march on their stomach, and they can be stopped if they cannot. The US needs access to the harbor in Darwin, as I have discussed in a previous lesson.

Roger M. Klang, defense political spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden

 

Iran and the S-300 surface-to-air missile system. Lesson fortyfour

Russia has sold or is selling S-300 air defense systems to Iran.

Iran has at least five bases on the Strait of Hormuz. The bases are located at Bandar Abbas, Bandar Lengeh, Sirik, Kish Island and Abu Musa, the latter two being islands.

The Americans have several air bases near or in the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf. The bases are called Isa Airbase (Bahrain), Al Udeid (Qatar) and Al Minhad and Al Dhafra (UAE).

In addition, the Americans have a naval base in Bahrain, and one on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, and a base in Djibouti on the Horn of Africa. They also have a large base with combat personnel on the British island of Ascension 2,500 km west of Africa halfway to Brazil in South America.

According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, the sale of the S-300 air defense system will stabilize the situation in the Middle East. But more likely it will do just the opposite, destabilizing the situation in the Middle East. Israel felt an urge to take action against Iranian nuclear facilities in the near future before Iran had deployed air defense systems. The Iranian news organization Tasnim reported on July 19, 2016 that Iran had obtained the first S-300 PMU-2 air defense systems which Russia sold to them.

If Israel does not strike while they can, if Iran becomes a nuclear weapons country with operational nuclear weapons with sufficient range and accuracy, then because of the Iranian mullahs’ unpredictability, it could turn into a disaster for Israel, or at least develop into a cold war between Israel and Iran. The Iranians have not been late in involving other stakeholders in the conflict, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, which risks tipping over the balance of power to Israel’s disadvantage and strengthen Iran’s position in the region. That would probably lead to a new Arab war against Israel. It could also mean that more states in the region would try to develop nuclear weapons.

Nor is there anything to guarantee that Russia will not sell the nuclear weapons carrier missiles to Iran, once Iran has received and deployed its air defense systems. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Lavrov emphasizes that the weapons are defensive and pose no threat to neighboring countries, including Israel. Israeli intelligence minister Yuval Steinitz made a statement; “Instead of demanding that Iran cease its terrorist acts in the Middle East and the world, it now allows the country to acquire advanced weapons that will only lead to increased aggression.”

Iran also supplies crude oil to Russia in exchange for grain and building materials. In this way, we are already being affected in our part of the world as Russia exports its surplus of oil to strengthen its economy. The so-called P5 + 1 group, consisting of the United States, Britain, France, Russia, China and Germany, reached an agreement in July 2015 on Iran’s nuclear program, which meant that Russia and Iran stood as winners. President Putin said in a statement on the Kremlin’s website that the world could take a relieved breath. In Israel, the sentiments were of another kind. The country’s Prime Minister Netanyahu did not mince words and called the agreement a big mistake of historical proportions. The sanctions against Iran were supposed to be lifted. The agreement meant that;

A) Iran would scale down its nuclear program while opening the doors for UN inspectors to all its nuclear facilities, including military ones.
B) The arms embargo against Iran was stated to remain for five years.
C) In addition, according to the IAEA, a roadmap had been signed to investigate Iran’s previous nuclear activities.
D) But even if a contract was in the clear, it would take months before it could take effect. The US Congress and Iran’s parliament would now approve the agreement.
E) The West’s sanctions against Iran, which isolated the country financially, could be lifted and several billion dollars of Iran’s frozen assets thawed thereafter.

Whether or not the sanctions under Obama really were lifted is an assessment question for anyone to figure out for himself.

Source; Euromaidan Press, April 2015; SR; Ekot, July 2015

Homework:

Do you think that Hezbollah with Iran’s help can tip the balance in the Middle East? And if they do, will there be another “Yom Kippur”? If you don’t know what Yom Kippur is I suggest that you read up about it. But I can tell you that it was the Arab war against the Israelis in October 1973 and it is also a Jewish Holiday, which they named the war after since the Arabs attacked Israel on the last day of the yearly Jewish fasting. The Jews were taken by surprise back then in the year of 1973.

Roger M. Klang, defense political spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden

Strategic submarines. Lesson fortythree

Each one of the 14 US SSBN Strategic Missile Submarine Ohio-class nuclear submarines has 24 SLBM Surface Launched Ballistic Missiles of the type called Lockheed Trident II with stellar and inertial guidance (inertial navigation).

Each missile has eight MIRVs (multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles) that can be assigned unique targets with either 475 kilotons alt. 100 kilotons combat charges. Trident II D-5 has a range of up to 11,300 km (7,000 miles)  according to a British Wikipedia page, and the corresponding US Wikipedia page rounds up the number to 12,000 km (7,450 miles)  but claims it has a longer reach than that.

The exact range, mentioned on the US Wikipedia page, is a secret. Elsewhere it is mentioned that Trident II D-5 can hit targets at 7,400 km (4,600 miles) distance. There is a big difference between 11,300 km and 7,400 km, and the divergence is probably due to the fact that the two nuclear charges weigh differently depending on their strength.

As it is almost 7,400 km from New York to Moscow for a Jet aircraft, and let us say that a ballistic missile fly 7,500 km from New York to Moscow, the shorter weapon range means that an Ohio-class submarine based in New York which is out for a month of service at sea will spend more than two days of these thirty days under or over the surface to reach the outer water where their nuclear weapons with the greatest total charge can reach target Moscow.

This means that 6 percent of the second strike ability the United States may have must be omitted already there. Approximately another 25 percent of the US strategic submarine fleet at any given moment will be in port for service work and repair that cannot be completed onboard the submarine at sea and/or outside the dock.

In addition, the crews must be allowed to spend time with their families in port and the submarines must be buffeted with food regardless of whether their submarine is in need of service and maintenance in port or not. Although there are at least two sets of crews, and a submarine can often be out to sea many times longer if the submarine is buffeted from surface ships.

To all this must be added that the submarines’ nuclear weapons must be maintained at regular intervals, perhaps every five years, and this is not done on board the submarine.

Overall it reduces the second strike capacity by 40 percent or more in the worst case. Alternatively, the detonation blast from a multiple early nuclear missile launch from a given submarine is reduced, close to the home coast, with up to 80 percent if half of the missiles have 475-kilo warheads with shorter range for the nuclear missile, but remain un-fired because of their shorter range, and the remaining half are only 100 kilos charges that can be fired from the waters from the New York coast.

If this ratio applies to as little as 6 percent + 25 percent of the United States second strike capability, at least 82,800 kilotons of TNT can be removed from the equation, at least in the immediate phase for a time period of up to just over two days. For Russia the calculations might be similar or even more discouraging.

These Ohio-class Trident II nuclear submarines make up the US strategic second strike capability and a total of 50 percent of the US strategic nuclear capacity.

There are also 4 Ohio-class SSGN Cruise Missile nuclear submarines capable of carrying 154 Tomahawk Block III or Block IV cruise missiles. The Tomahawk Block IV missile is an all-weather surface- and submarine-launched precision strike stand-off weapon.

Designed for long range precision strike missions against high quality and heavily defended targets, the Tomahawk has a maximum range of 1,600 km (1,000 miles). It travels at subsonic speed – 890 km/h (550 miles per hour).

The US surface combat fleet phased out TLAM-A, the nuclear charge version of Tomahawk, a number of years ago. So the US surface combat fleet is now not armed with nuclear weapons, just like the British surface combat fleet isn’t. Today, all of the Tomahawks the surface combat fleet have are conventional missiles, either in the form of a single combat part (TLAM-C, TLAM-E) or with submunition parts (TLAM-D).

It is simply not true that one strategic submarine can annihilate a not so small country as sometimes mentioned in the debate. In this link you can see for yourself the effect of a nuclear weapon, which you can give various size charges, in an attack on any city or city in any country:

http://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/

Roger M. Klang, defense political Spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden

A war against Iran – in the Nordic countries? Lesson fortytwo

There are layers in the intelligence communities with different realities, if you’re a high enough ranking intelligence officer you will understand that.

Russia’s foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, has accused NATO, and Europe more broadly, of stoking tensions on the continent, as he called on leaders in February 2020 to ”abandon the phantom of the Russian threat”. Really, ”phantom”? Let me tell you what he is really thinking and why he cannot get the US to play along. Kreml is prepared to sacrifice Iran in exchange for the control over the Nordic countries. That is why Putin has been talking with Israel with a silk tongue lately and released a female Israeli prisoner from a Russian prison as a sign of good will. The US is trying to provoke a war with Iran. But the Iranians aren’t taking the bait lately. So the Americans are glancing on the possibility to get some of the Kurds or perhaps the Syrian rebels to provoke the Turks into a war with Syria by them killing some of Turkey’s military personnel at the border between Syria and Turkey in a false flag operation. Turkish president Erdogan has been very firm in his approach on Turkey’s stand should Syria engage the Turkish forces resulting in just one casualty. It will mean war. And Turkey is a NATO country. Erdogan has been firm but stupid. If Turkey is attacked in any way by any of the players in the region, then Turkey can release Article 5 in the NATO chart. And then the US would step in and gain access into Iranian interests in Syria and from there on it is not a long way to the war, that the US has sought with Iran, for control over the oil in the Persian Gulf.

We did not have to wait long for the Russian reaction, because we experienced that Russia either on its own or through the dictator Assad, in northwestern Syria attacked Turkish posts from Syria by air at the end of February 2020, resulting in 22 dead Turkish soldiers. Suitably enough, Russia has an air base in Latakia very close to the Idlib province. Turkish forces have been in conflict with Syrian forces, as a result of the airstrikes. Motion pictures from within Idlib show mushroom clouds after new bombings and shootings between the belligerents. According to the UN, schools, hospitals and temporary refugee camps have been in the firing line. Putin has deceived Erdogan over the phone. Better to forestall than to be forestalled. Erdogan responded by opening the corridor for refugees between Turkey and Europe. I don’t think Erdogan is well informed! He probably thinks that the Western world is behind the attacks. Or he’s really irrational, which wouldn’t surprise me. The Bashaws down there tend to be labile and unreliable.

The point is that the US is going to need all the NATO countries, also Norway and Denmark, to cooperate with the US and NATO. That’s why Norway and Denmark can relax for the time being. The US is going to defend them, or at least they are prepared to deter Russia from attacking Norway and Denmark. Only, Norway’s and Denmark’s security guarrantee can all go away in a decade or so. Noone knows. The only thing we can know for certain is that Trump is unreliable and that a Russian attack on Sweden and/or Finland will result in forwarded Russian power positions in Scandinavia. Looks like Trump has the upper hand. Maybe he is smarter than I thought? Or maybe he has just got more power than I thought.

Of course all this means that Norway and Denmark have been marched into another war for the US sake. Just not a war on their own soil. This have both upsides and downsides for our Scandinavian neighbors. For us Swedes it means bad news.

Putin and Trump are closing in on each other without so many words. It’s the way the big guys like to communicate, with military exercises using fleets and brigades and such. This kind of communication has its upsides and downsides, but it can be combined with making other projects a reality in different places of the world in order to convey a meaning. One downside to that is that you have only so much resources. In August of 2019, Russia held a big Naval drill very close to the Norwegian coast. But there is also the possibility to pull back troops, in order to convey a message, and that is what Trump was doing in late 2019, as he was defending his back-stabbing on the Kurds in Syria and Tweeting about the coming US withdrawal. But the US war with Iran is still coming.

If not Russia should collapse beforehand Putin sure looks forward to a future Russian salvation like a WWII Alliance with the Americans and the British. It is possibe to imagine a defensive war coming sometime in the future for the Scandinavian countries on the one side, and the would be assailants the US, Britain and if they all get their wish also Russia on the other side which is a necessity for such a war scenario. There could also be a blockade or some sort of sanctions against us. And with a war and/or sanctions against us I especially mean us Swedes. We would find ourselves in Israel’s position in 1967 and 1973. And you know what, I think we would win.

Trump’s motive? Economical gain for his country, Reality politics, recent resentments against Trump from high ranking officials in the Swedish armed forces, personal issues with us Swedes, you pick one or all! But the main motive in such a scenario would be that the US administration wants to grease up the Middle East by removing Russian incentives to counteract the US when they engage in yet another war in the region, this time likely against Iran. There is also a direct link between this and Trump’s visit to India in February 2020.

“John Bolton is absolutely a hawk,” Trump told NBC in June 2019. “If it was up to him, he’d take on the whole world at one time, OK? But that doesn’t matter because I want both sides.”

These two separate scenarios are surely a way to get both sides for ”businessman” Donald.

Let me just say that the US own WTI oil, which is of a quality that is currently the only kind of oil quality you can make gasoline from, will suffice for maybe 5+ more years. Do the calculations and don’t be fooled by commentaries by various players, like that the oil fields in Texas are as big as the state of Alabama. Do the counting on the official numbers!

It is in this context you should consider the ”save our ASAP Rocky” statements from Trump. ASAP Rocky is an American rapper that happened to get himself into a fight in Sweden and ended up in a Swedish court in the summer of 2019.

And it is in this context we should read that POTUS now wants to buy Greenland from Denmark or lease placement of BMD assets and runways from the country. Sounds to me like POTUS wants to go hunting with aircrafts for Admiral von Dönitz submarines in the Denmark Strait again. Of course it is only a plus that Russian endeavours to make it to the Atlantic with nuclear submarines in a war scenario where Russia is an assailant might be foiled. Or is this the main purpose? Noone would be happier than me if it is, but this shopping spree from the POTUS coincides with other suspicious stuff happening. But there is also a longer term aspect with Trump wanting to buy Greenland, natural resources. America has tried this before. And the timing is impeccable.

It is also in this concept you should read that Angela Merkel visited Iceland in August 2019. It is not just random happenings, almost everything that happens on the top levels have a causality.

Russias motive is that Kremlin is in a race to make something happen so that they will not implode as a state, again.

 

 

Homework:

What message do you think that Russia wanted to convey to the US administration with their big Naval drill very close to the Norwegian coast in August 2019? The Russian Northern Fleet group of warships sailed north for live-shootings in the Norwegian Sea near the Arctic Circle. The main objective of the Russian air force group was an exercise to hunt down submarines.

Would you answer:

  1. It was not a message to the US, it was a message to Norway and maybe also Finland and Sweden.
  2. It was a message to Trump that he should keep out of Russia’s influence sphere wich Putin intends to expand by working his ”beanbag” Norway.
  3. It was additionally an attempted message, or part of a message, to Trump that ”please, come to your senses and work together with us, let us have the Baltic states and/or selected parts of Scandinavia while you can do what you wish with Iran possibly. Help us contain Germany while we fuck up Scandinavia together”.

 

Sources; SR;Ekot and Kim Iversen on Youtube for the part about Syria and Turkey

 

Roger M. Klang, defense political spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden

Britain’s crimes against todays German men. Lesson fortyone

At the end of wwii the British got a hold on some German archives that weren’t destroyed by the Germans themselves. Many German archives were lost, but not all of them. The Hitler archives were not lost. The British know what Hitler said since the Germans were keen on documenting everything the Führer said within the inner circle, and the Britts have been portioning out selected information over many decades following on the German defeat in wwii. They are certainly running out of material that they want to make official. Every bad thing Hitler ever said is out there on the Internet and in British made documentories.

The thing is that all German researchers, historians and academics are excluded from ever taking part in studying these now British owned archives. The British racist dismissing of the Germans is meant to supress German men for ever and ever in order to being able to continue to keep the British psychological advantage and higher moral ground over German men.

It is a fact that all people have both favorable sides and bad sides, and so did also Hitler have. I don’t know what the British are going to do with the rest of their German archives. But I bet that what is left are going to be classified material forever and ever. I bet that if the British released what has not already been revealed will make Hitler look like a saint since everything bad he ever said are already official.

But the British don’t stop there. They sell aerial bombcarpet photographs to the Germans for astronomical charges, photos taken from the British airplanes that dropped the bombs on Germany in the first place. A million pounds per photo. The Germans need these photos in order to find undetonated bombs in the ground so that they can defuse those bombs.

Homework:

Oh Britain, we know what crimes you are committing. Do anyone think that the Britts will ever release what is left in the British confiscated German archives? Anyone?

Roger M. Klang, defense political spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden